10/09/2026
After 5 straight (and 11 of 15) weekly moves higher in interest rates and hitting this highest yield on the 10-year Treasury since April 2002, we ended this week lower. The economic calendar was relatively quiet this week. Today’s consumer sentiment report saw consumer confidence falling from 48.1 in Sep to 46.3 in the preliminary reading. Inflation expectations rose to 4.7% from 4.6%. Actual inflation readings are lower, but the Fed does take consumer inflation expectations into consideration when setting interest rates. The October 28th Fed meeting currently has an 83% chance of a rate hold, with the December 9th meeting showing a 100% chance of a 25 bps rate hike. The economic calendar next week will be more exciting. Existing Home Sales on Tuesday, CPI Inflation report on Wednesday, and PPI Inflation report on Thursday.