11/03/2026
📊 THE BIGGER PICTURE | WEEKLY MARKET UPDATE
🏡 HOME PRICES ARE RISING NATIONALLY. BUT DENVER TELLS A DIFFERENT STORY.
The Fed held rates steady, inflation remains elevated, and new-home sales are slowing.
But the biggest story may be what's happening with housing prices.
🏦 THE FED & INFLATION
The Fed held its benchmark rate unchanged following September's quarter-point increase.
Inflation remains above its 2% target:
• Headline PCE: 3.6% annually
• Core PCE: 3.1% annually
Remember, the Fed doesn't directly set mortgage rates. Inflation and bond-market expectations play major roles.
🏡 NATIONAL VS. COLORADO HOUSING
Nationally, new-home sales fell 5.3% year over year, and the median new-home price declined 3.9%.
Yet the Case-Shiller index showed national home prices UP 2.1%.
How can both be true?
More lower-priced homes sold, changing the median. That doesn't necessarily mean individual properties lost value.
📍 DENVER METRO
September's local numbers tell another story:
• Median closed price: $575,000, down 2%
• Pending sales: down 13%
• Active listings: 13,522, up 2%
Colorado statewide pending contracts also declined 10.9%.
Unlike the national Case-Shiller index, Denver's median price reflects the mix of homes sold. These measures aren't directly comparable, but both help explain the market.
💡 THE BIGGER PICTURE
Denver buyers have more choices, and negotiating opportunities vary by neighborhood and property type.
For communities like The Aurora Highlands, Bud Hardin and Sojourn at Idlewild, it's worth comparing builder incentives with other mortgage strategies.
The goal isn't simply finding the lowest advertised rate. It's understanding how financing affects cash flow, liquidity and long-term goals.
Your Mortgage Can Do More.
HOMES | WEALTH | FREEDOM | WHAT'S NEXT
Mortgage Consultant