08/17/2026
๐ก ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐๐ด๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ณ, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฒ
๐๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐น๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐๐น๐ ๐ถ๐บ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐
Mortgage rates started the week moving higher, but fell after both consumer and wholesale inflation data for July showed prices moderating across a range of goods and services, reducing the chances that the Fed will hike its policy rate in September.
๐ง๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐น๐ฑ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐
There's not much economic data that could move rates this week, which will leave markets to follow headlines instead. Although it is unlikely rates will move much lower from here, the good news is that they are also unlikely to make any big jumps this week. However, they could creep slightly higher.
๐ ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐โ๐ ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ:
โข The Middle East: Oil prices remain elevated but continue to hold steady. If Brent crude remains below $90/barrel, that will help keep mortgage rates from moving significantly higher. However, if oil prices increase this week, expect mortgage rates to increase as well.
โข The Fed: Markets recently were pricing in the likelihood of a Fed rate hike at the September meeting. Markets are now speculating that a rate hike isn't likely until the December meeting, which has taken some pressure off mortgage rates because they generally price in expected Fed action early.
