10/19/2026
Will the Bank of Canada hold rates steady? And what does that mean for your mortgage?
Canada’s latest inflation numbers suggest the Bank of Canada may have reason to keep interest rates on hold at its October 28 announcement.
Here are the key takeaways from September’s inflation report:
📈 Inflation edged up: Annual inflation rose to 3.1%, up from 3.0% in August, largely driven by higher energy prices.
⛽ Energy is the main driver: Gasoline prices increased 27.8% year over year. Excluding energy, inflation was considerably lower at 2.2%.
📉 Core inflation eased: The Bank of Canada’s preferred core inflation measures both declined, averaging 1.9%, suggesting underlying inflation pressures remain relatively contained.
🛒 Some relief at the grocery store: Grocery prices rose 1.7% year over year, the smallest annual increase since May 2024.
🏦 What does this mean for mortgage rates? Economists cited in the article expect the Bank of Canada to hold its overnight rate at 2.25% at its October 28 meeting. However, fixed mortgage rates can move independently of the Bank’s decision, so a rate hold doesn't automatically mean lower mortgage rates.
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Read the full article for the latest inflation data and expert commentary.
https://www.mpamag.com/ca/mortgage-industry/industry-trends/september-cpi-keeps-bank-of-canada-hold-in-play/594068
Core inflation eases to 1.9% as energy prices drive the headline