10/14/2026
Why More Canadians Are Rethinking the Five-Year Fixed Mortgage
The five-year fixed mortgage used to be the standard choice for Canadian homeowners. Today, borrowers are increasingly looking elsewhere.
According to CMHC, in the first quarter of 2026, 35.5% of new uninsured mortgages were variable rate and another 49.5% had fixed terms shorter than five years. That means more than 85% fell outside the traditional longer-term fixed approach.
Why the shift?
For many borrowers, flexibility has become more valuable. A shorter fixed term lets you reassess your mortgage sooner, while a variable rate can allow you to benefit more quickly if rates decline.
But that flexibility comes with a trade-off: more exposure to future rate changes.
If rates rise, variable-rate borrowers can feel the impact sooner, while someone choosing a shorter fixed term may face a higher rate when they renew. CMHC's 2026 Mortgage Consumer Survey found that 35% of renewing borrowers experienced increased financial pressure from changing rates, with payments rising by an average of $375 per month among those borrowers.
Your Mortgage Term Checklist
Instead of simply asking “Which option has the lowest rate?”, consider these four questions:
1. How much payment uncertainty can my budget handle?
If an increase of a few hundred dollars per month would create financial pressure, predictability may deserve more weight.
2. How long am I likely to keep this mortgage?
Think about moving, refinancing, accessing equity or making other major financial changes.
3. What am I giving up for today's rate?
Compare penalties, prepayment privileges, portability and refinancing flexibility, not just the advertised rate.
4. What happens if my rate forecast is wrong?
Run the numbers in both directions. What does your budget look like if rates rise? What could you be giving up if rates fall?
The Takeaway
Choosing between a variable, shorter fixed or five-year fixed mortgage is ultimately a risk-management decision.
Before choosing your next term, know three numbers: the payment you can comfortably afford, the payment you could absorb if rates rise, and how long you realistically expect to keep the mortgage.
Those answers can be far more useful than trying to predict exactly where rates will go next.