03/12/2026
Energy prices could potentially shake up mortgage rates soon! ⛽📈
Canada’s 5-year bond yield — the key driver of fixed mortgage rates — jumped about 35 basis points before easing slightly. That’s a big move in a very short time.
What caused it?
Rising oil prices tied to escalating tensions in Iran. As energy prices climb, inflation risks increase because fuel impacts transportation, food, and nearly every part of the economy.
When inflation fears rise, bond yields usually follow… and in Canada, fixed mortgage rates follow bond yields.
What this could mean:
• Higher fixed mortgage rates
• Potential delays in interest rate cuts
• In a worst-case scenario, the Bank of Canada could even revisit rate hikes.
Global conflict → higher oil → higher inflation risk → higher bond yields → higher mortgage rates.
If you’re wondering how this could affect your mortgage or plans to buy, let’s talk.
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