The Townshend, Somani and Hunter Group at Canaccord Genuity

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Tony Dwyer delves into the 2024 market outlook, identifying signs of an intermediate-term correction. He explores three ...
01/12/2024

Tony Dwyer delves into the 2024 market outlook, identifying signs of an intermediate-term correction. He explores three key indicators that are all signaling a pullback from the late 2023 rally. What are your predictions for the stock market in 2024?

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Tony Dwyer analyzes the market's shift from a 2023 rally to a 2024 pullback, with a focus on key indicators like the S&P...
01/08/2024

Tony Dwyer analyzes the market's shift from a 2023 rally to a 2024 pullback, with a focus on key indicators like the S&P 500's overbought status, volatility trends, and treasury yield movements. How do you interpret the recent volatility and treasury yield trends in the market?

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Tony Dwyer reflects on the market's journey since the October 27th rally, noting it's time to 'Chill-ax' with indicators...
12/04/2023

Tony Dwyer reflects on the market's journey since the October 27th rally, noting it's time to 'Chill-ax' with indicators pointing to a sideways trend. As the market stabilizes post-rally, what impact might looming events have on this newfound equilibrium?

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Tony Dwyer discusses a shift to a more neutral stance given the extreme oversold conditions, a sharp UST yield reversal,...
11/16/2023

Tony Dwyer discusses a shift to a more neutral stance given the extreme oversold conditions, a sharp UST yield reversal, and historic year-end gains after negative returns in August-October. Will the Fed be able to create a new sustainable bull market?

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Tony Dwyer discusses the front-loaded year-end rally, challenges the soft landing theory with rising unemployment, the C...
11/09/2023

Tony Dwyer discusses the front-loaded year-end rally, challenges the soft landing theory with rising unemployment, the Conference Board Employment Trends Index reinforcing a recession call, and what the Fed needs to do to begin stimulating future growth.

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Tony Dwyer discusses the 'Higher for Shorter' theory after the Treasury's surprise issuance reduction, signaling a poten...
11/04/2023

Tony Dwyer discusses the 'Higher for Shorter' theory after the Treasury's surprise issuance reduction, signaling a potential Federal Reserve policy pivot, and points to soft economic data as the catalyst for a robust market rally amid recession concerns.

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Tony Dwyer discusses the current 'unsettled' nature of both investment and life, the unresolved high-interest rate conun...
10/17/2023

Tony Dwyer discusses the current 'unsettled' nature of both investment and life, the unresolved high-interest rate conundrum needing a significant tone change from the Fed, and highlights the broader geopolitical unease adding to market unpredictability.

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Tony Dwyer underscores the pivotal role of market behavior leading up to key economic events, voices concern over today'...
10/13/2023

Tony Dwyer underscores the pivotal role of market behavior leading up to key economic events, voices concern over today's challenging financial landscape lacking a clear stimulative catalyst, and maintains the 'light and tight' strategy for cautious yet strategic investment.

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Tony Dwyer highlights the differences:1. Inflation was in secular decline while today it remains stubbornly high.2. U.S....
09/21/2023

Tony Dwyer highlights the differences:

1. Inflation was in secular decline while today it remains stubbornly high.

2. U.S. Treasury, corporate, and mortgage interest rates were moving sharply lower rather than today's cycle high.

3. Unemployment was declining and not close to full employment, while today the opposite is true.

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09/19/2023

Tony Dwyer highlights the concentration in the market making a new high, why the S&P 500 (SPX) has been misleading as a broad measure, and how airlines and home builders show how quickly the market's message can change.

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Tony Dwyer highlights why tactical indicators suggest a temporary bounce and what to look for to become more fundamental...
08/22/2023

Tony Dwyer highlights why tactical indicators suggest a temporary bounce and what to look for to become more fundamentally optimistic

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Tony Dwyer walks through  four key tactical indicators and their messaging given the recent market consolidation.       ...
08/15/2023

Tony Dwyer walks through four key tactical indicators and their messaging given the recent market consolidation.

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