Catch A Trend Pty Ltd

25/03/2025

Trade only with money you can afford to lose. Many new traders gamble with their essentials, creating unnecessary fear and stress. To trade with clarity and confidence, use capital that won’t disrupt your life. When you’re detached from the outcome, you can make decisions rationally, not emotionally, and stay focused on long-term success.

25/03/2025

Greed clouds judgment, pushing traders into reckless actions: overleveraging, overtrading, chasing fleeting opportunities, or stubbornly holding losing positions. It drives irrational decisions, distorting reality and fueling losses. In the volatile world of forex, mastering discipline over desire is the key to long-term success. Control your impulses, or risk losing everything in the pursuit of fleeting gains.

27/02/2025

As of February 27, 2025, the Nasdaq 100 index (NDX) is exhibiting notable technical patterns on the daily timeframe.

**Current Market Overview:**

- **Support Level:** The 21,000 mark continues to serve as a significant support level, with the index showing resilience around this area. 

- **Resistance Level:** The 22,000 level is identified as a key resistance point. A successful breach above this level could indicate a bullish trend continuation. 

**Fibonacci Retracement Analysis:**

Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the recent price movement from the low at 20,000 to the high at 22,000:

- **38.2% Retracement:** Approximately at 21,236, this level has historically acted as a support zone.

- **50% Retracement:** Around 21,000, aligning with the current support level.

- **61.8% Retracement:** Near 20,764, which could serve as a deeper support level if the price declines further.

**Technical Indicators:**

- **RSI (14):** Currently at 58.06, indicating a neutral to bullish momentum.

- **MACD (12,26):** Positive at 28.27, suggesting upward momentum.

- **Moving Averages:** The 50-day EMA is above the 200-day EMA, indicating a bullish trend. 

**Entry and Exit Points:**

- **Entry Point:** Consider entering a long position near the 21,000 support level, especially if the price shows signs of holding above this area.

- **Exit Point:** Target the 22,000 resistance level for potential profit-taking. If the price surpasses this level, the next target would be around 22,500.

- **Stop-Loss:** Place a stop-loss below the 20,764 level to manage risk effectively.

**Conclusion:**

The Nasdaq 100 is currently testing key support levels, with potential for upward movement toward resistance zones. Traders should monitor the 21,000 support and 22,000 resistance levels closely, utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels to inform entry and exit strategies.

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27/02/2025

XAU/USD (gold) and NAS100 (Nasdaq 100 index) can have a complex relationship, and their movements do not always follow a consistent pattern. However, historically, they tend to move in opposite directions at times, though this is not always the case.

Key Points:

Inverse Correlation (sometimes):

When gold prices rise (XAU/USD), it often suggests a flight to safety, where investors move their money into gold as a store of value, typically during periods of uncertainty or market volatility. This could lead to the Nasdaq 100 (which represents technology stocks) declining as investors shift away from riskier assets.

Conversely, when the Nasdaq 100 rises (indicating a strong stock market or positive economic outlook), gold prices may fall as investors are more willing to invest in higher-risk assets (like tech stocks) rather than seeking the safety of gold.

Positive Correlation (at times):

At certain times, both XAU/USD and NAS100 may rise or fall together. For example, if there is global inflationary pressure or a weaker U.S. dollar, both gold and stocks may benefit from similar macroeconomic factors, though this is less common.

Influencing Factors:

Gold is seen as a hedge against inflation and a safe-haven asset, while the NAS100 is more influenced by the performance of tech stocks, interest rates, and overall market sentiment.

A weakening U.S. dollar often pushes gold prices higher, while it could have a mixed effect on the NAS100 depending on broader market conditions.

In Summary:

While there are times when XAU/USD and NAS100 move in opposite directions (especially during times of economic uncertainty), they don't always move in a perfectly inverse correlation. The relationship can be influenced by various factors, such as interest rates, the strength of the U.S. dollar, inflation, and investor sentiment.

30/12/2024

The government don't owe you anything.

The world don't owe you anything.

The rich don't owe you anything.

Nobody is here to save you.

The good news?

You don't need anybody because you already have all the resources at your disposal—the internet.

You can acquire almost anything skills you want if you put your mind to it.

So go for it.

30/12/2024

When you have some trading profits, don't upgrade your lifestyle too quickly.

Because when the losses come, they will be a liability to your finances, mindset, and performance.

28/11/2024

[This is the most important technical level on the chart]

Here are a few reasons why…

Reason #1: Losing traders hoping to get out at breakeven

Multi-year highs represent extreme optimism in the markets because most traders (and investors) are in profits.

But as you know, the price cannot go up forever. Eventually, it has to retrace or reverse altogether.

When that happens, many traders will exit their long trades.

However, not everyone will do the same. Some will continue holding, hoping the price could breakout higher to give them even more profits.

But when the market collapses even lower, they’ll regret not selling earlier as their open profits have been eroded and they are now sitting on their losses. They hope the market could re-test the highs so they can get out of their trades at breakeven.

Reason #2: Bearish traders looking to short the markets

For bearish traders, multi-year highs present an opportunity to short the market at a “high price” because they can reference the highs to set their stop loss.

So as the price approaches multi-year highs, the short interest from bearish traders will increase.

Reason #3: Momentum traders looking to buy breakouts

Momentum traders buy breakouts as the price moves above a certain level. It could be breakouts of a range, swing high, resistance, etc.

But what’s interesting is if the price breaks out of multi-year highs, it’ll attract attention from traders across different timeframes.

That’s because whether you’re a day trader, swing trader, long-term trader, etc. the multi-year highs will be something visible on your timeframe (and charts).

Now, whether you’re bullish or bearish, multi-year high is a significant level for traders.

If you’re bearish, then you can reference it to set your stop loss above the highs.

If you’re bullish, then you can look to buy the breakout and have your stops below the previous multi-year highs (anticipating that it could become previous resistance turned support).

04/11/2024

The markets can reward you for no rhyme or reason.

But if you think you have cracked the code, the market can take everything back and more.

If you don’t want that to happen, always manage your risk—and never assume you know it all.

03/10/2024

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01/10/2024