TreasuryONE - Pty Ltd

TreasuryONE - Pty Ltd How can we help optimise your financial flows and minimise your risk? 📊 TreasuryOne was established in May 2000.

The company’s mission is to provide a broad range of best practice treasury solutions to organisations of all size

Markets remain focused on developments around the Strait of Hormuz, with Qatar pushing Iran to agree to conditions that ...
28/08/2026

Markets remain focused on developments around the Strait of Hormuz, with Qatar pushing Iran to agree to conditions that could allow the waterway to reopen. While some improvement in shipping flows has been seen, volumes remain well below pre-war levels, and Tehran continues to hold significant leverage. Brent is trading around $88/barrel, with the geopolitical risk premium still elevated. A credible reopening of the Strait would remove some of that premium, while a breakdown in negotiations could quickly send oil higher.

The focus now turns to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first Jackson Hole address later today. Several Fed officials have warned that inflation remains too sticky and that current policy may not be restrictive enough, raising the prospect of another rate hike later this year. Markets are currently pricing roughly a 35% chance of a September hike and 75% by December. A hawkish message from Warsh could push US yields higher and support the dollar, while a lack of clear guidance could leave the currency vulnerable.

The rand has pulled back slightly from its recent gains, with USD/ZAR moving back towards the R16.00 level after trading below R15.90 earlier in the week. Lower South African inflation and a softer PPI reading remain supportive, but the rand is increasingly being driven by offshore developments. Higher oil prices, a retreat in gold and uncertainty around the Fed are all potential headwinds. For now, R16.00 remains the key psychological level, with a break below R15.9650 opening the possibility of another move towards R15.8250.

CFOs already have access to vast amounts of financial information. The greater challenge is knowing which information ma...
27/08/2026

CFOs already have access to vast amounts of financial information. The greater challenge is knowing which information matters, understanding what it means for the business and acting on it with confidence.

Treasury as a Service brings technology and specialist treasury expertise together in one operating model. It gives organisations ongoing support across cash and liquidity management, cash flow forecasting, debt and funding, financial risk management, and treasury operations and governance.

This allows treasury to move beyond reporting what has already happened. It can help management decide what should happen next.

Confidence comes from knowing that liquidity is sufficient, forecasts are credible, debt is managed proactively, financial risks are understood and treasury controls are working effectively.

Technology provides the visibility. Experienced treasury professionals turn that visibility into action and measurable business value.

Read the full article: https://treasuryone.co.za/treasury-as-a-service-why-the-future-of-corporate-treasury-is-not-more-software/

Rate hike bets tick up as inflation remains on the high side, all eyes on Jackson HoleBets on a Fed rate hike in Septemb...
27/08/2026

Rate hike bets tick up as inflation remains on the high side, all eyes on Jackson Hole
Bets on a Fed rate hike in September have edged back to 40% after the PCE price index rose to 3.7% year-on-year, triggering a small bounce in the Dollar. The DXY index is back above the 99.00 mark, with the Euro, Pound, and Yen all losing some ground. Focus now remains firmly on the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, which kicks off today, and particularly on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech tomorrow for clues to the Fed's next moves.

The Rand, which briefly traded below the R15.90 level yesterday, softened as the Dollar firmed, closing at R15.95 last night. Local PPI data due out today will show if the SARB was correct in not hiking rates at the last MPC meeting.

Gold is back at $4,620 this morning after having closed at $4,592 last night on the back of the stronger Dollar and sticky US inflation. Oil prices have continued their decline as US inventories rise and talks between Iran and Oman on the partial opening of the Strait of Hormuz progress.

Every time a South African business pays an overseas supplier, or an individual transfers money offshore to invest, ther...
26/08/2026

Every time a South African business pays an overseas supplier, or an individual transfers money offshore to invest, there’s a cost that most people never question: the exchange rate.

While fees are usually visible, the exchange rate often isn’t. The margin between the market rate and the rate offered can vary significantly. Large corporates negotiate highly competitive pricing because of their trading volumes and dedicated treasury teams. SMEs and private investors rarely have that advantage, meaning they often pay considerably more than they should.

The difference may seem small on a single transaction. Over the course of a year, however, it can amount to tens of thousands of rand lost, simply because a better rate wasn’t available.

Read the article here: https://treasuryone.co.za/why-south-african-businesses-and-investors-are-paying-too-much-for-foreign-exchange/

Stricter sanctions on Iran and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's warning that countries, including China, that do busin...
26/08/2026

Stricter sanctions on Iran and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's warning that countries, including China, that do business with Iran would be cut off from the Dollar-based financial system have seen some safe-haven demand for the Dollar. The DXY index is trading just below the key 99.00 support level, with the focus now shifting to today's Core PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator. US Treasury yields continue to rally for a 2nd consecutive day, with the 30-year yield at 5.20% and the 10-year yield at 4.16%.

The Rand continues to lead EM and commodity-driven currencies stronger, with the currency touching R15.91 in New York last night before closing at R15.97. Currently, the Rand is firmer against the Dollar at R15.93, while it is stronger against both the Euro and Pound at R18.58 and R21.72 respectively.

Gold is down 0.25% at $4,642 this morning after having traded just below $4,700 at one point yesterday. Caution ahead of today's Core PCE inflation data and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's address at Jackson Hole on Friday triggered some profit-taking. Brent crude has slid to $86.70 after Iran and Oman resumed talks to create a temporary joint maritime corridor through the Strait of Hormuz.

The dollar remains under pressure this morning, with the Dollar Index around 98.96 after struggling to extend its overni...
25/08/2026

The dollar remains under pressure this morning, with the Dollar Index around 98.96 after struggling to extend its overnight recovery. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's latest Iran sanctions initially supported the greenback, but that support has faded as markets viewed the measures as less disruptive than initially feared. Focus now shifts back towards US fiscal policy, Treasury bond-buying plans and Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole later this week.

Gold remains firmly supported and is trading near its highest levels in more than three months, with dollar weakness, geopolitical uncertainty, and concerns around US fiscal policy continuing to drive demand. Gold strength remains a key positive for the rand, providing a strong commodity tailwind while the dollar struggles to regain momentum.

Brent has slipped back towards $92/bbl, with crude prices giving up more than 2% following Bessent's announcement. Markets appear to have interpreted the latest sanctions as economic escalation rather than an immediate threat to physical oil supply. For ZAR, the softer oil price is supportive, although any escalation around Iran or the Strait of Hormuz could quickly bring back the geopolitical premium.

For many corporates, the bank connectivity conversation still starts in the wrong place.It is often treated as a technic...
24/08/2026

For many corporates, the bank connectivity conversation still starts in the wrong place.

It is often treated as a technical integration project: connect the ERP to the bank, enable payments, receive statements, and move on. But for modern treasury teams, bank connectivity is no longer just about sending files or retrieving balances. It has become a control layer that sits between the organisation, its ERP environment, its banking partners and its financial decision-makers.

Check out this article by TreasuryONE's Head of Technology, Morne Klynsmith, in the latest SA Treasurers Journal: https://mytmi.online/flipbooks/SA26/



This article was originally published by the Association of Corporate Treasurers of Southern Africa and republished with permission from Treasury Management International (TMI) www.treasury-management.com.

The rand is benefiting from a combination of a softer US dollar, stronger commodity prices and South Africa’s favourable...
24/08/2026

The rand is benefiting from a combination of a softer US dollar, stronger commodity prices and South Africa’s favourable terms of trade.

But much of the next move could be decided in the US.

Markets are watching inflation, employment data and growing refinancing pressure in the US Treasury market, with around 30% to 32% of approximately $40 trillion in debt due to be repriced within the next year.

Attention now turns to PCE inflation data and the Jackson Hole symposium for further clues on the Federal Reserve’s direction.

For now, TreasuryONE expects the rand to remain within a relatively tight R15.90 to R16.10 range against the dollar, barring a significant new catalyst.

Watch our latest weekly market review for Andre Cilliers’ full assessment of the week ahead.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I3DVV_a8rXM

The biggest geopolitical risk this morning is the US Treasury’s planned announcement of sweeping sanctions targeting Ira...
24/08/2026

The biggest geopolitical risk this morning is the US Treasury’s planned announcement of sweeping sanctions targeting Iran’s trading partners. Tehran has threatened to halt Gulf oil exports in response, raising the risk of further disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent has pulled back below $93 after a strong two-week rally, but the supply outlook remains tight. Any escalation, particularly if Chinese banks or Iranian oil exports are directly targeted, could quickly push oil higher and reignite inflation concerns.

The rand has extended its impressive rally, briefly reaching around R15.9900, its strongest level since the start of the Iran conflict. The move has been driven by broad US dollar weakness, strong emerging-market sentiment and, importantly, gold trading above $4,640/oz. However, positioning is becoming increasingly stretched after the rand’s multi-week rally. The R16.00 level is now an important psychological test, with a sustained break below R16.06 potentially opening the way towards R15.9150.

Attention now turns to US inflation and Federal Reserve policy. Wednesday’s PCE inflation data is expected to show headline inflation easing to 3.6%, while core inflation remains elevated around 3.3%. More importantly, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first Jackson Hole keynote on Friday. Markets will be looking for clues on the path of US interest rates, with any lack of reassurance potentially putting further upward pressure on long-dated Treasury yields and keeping the dollar under pressure.

As businesses grow, treasury gets more complicated.More bank accounts. More currencies. More payments. Greater FX exposu...
21/08/2026

As businesses grow, treasury gets more complicated.

More bank accounts. More currencies. More payments. Greater FX exposure. Increased reporting requirements. More pressure on cash and liquidity.

But the answer does not always have to be building a bigger internal treasury department.

A managed treasury model allows companies to scale their treasury capability as their needs change, while gaining access to specialist skills, technology and established controls without having to recreate all of that infrastructure internally.

It also allows finance teams to shift their attention away from repetitive operational work and towards working capital, funding, risk and the strategic priorities of the business.

That is an important shift in how we think about treasury.

Here we look at why treasury should increasingly be treated as a managed business service.

Read it here: https://treasuryone.co.za/treasury-is-a-managed-business-service/

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