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TreasuryONE - Pty Ltd How can we help optimise your financial flows and minimise your risk? 📊 TreasuryOne was established in May 2000.

The company’s mission is to provide a broad range of best practice treasury solutions to organisations of all size

Overnight curfews in various French cities saw some respite from the recent protests in France. The Euro has managed to ...
20/10/2026

Overnight curfews in various French cities saw some respite from the recent protests in France. The Euro has managed to make some small gains, while the Dollar has eased slightly lower. Despite the pullback, the Dollar's upward trajectory remains intact, with inflation concerns, higher-for-longer US interest rates, and ongoing geopolitical risks underpinning the currency. Market focus now shifts to upcoming central bank decisions and updated inflation data.

The Rand continues to trade on a firmer footing ahead of tomorrow's CPI numbers and the Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement. Currently, the Rand is trading around the R16.40 level, with the next target being the 200-day moving average at R16.32.

Gold is trading largely unchanged at $4,134 this morning as it fails to gain any traction from a slightly softer Dollar and increased political risk safe-haven demand. The higher Oil price is not helping the metal as inflation concerns and higher global interest rates weigh on the metal. Brent has climbed to just below $110.00 this morning, as Houthi attacks on Saudi installations persist, entrenching the geopolitical risk premium.

Join the TreasuryONE team at 𝗙𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗮𝗯𝗮 𝗼𝗻 𝟮𝟮 𝗢𝗰𝘁 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲. Visit us at 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝟲 to catch up and discuss how we can suppo...
19/10/2026

Join the TreasuryONE team at 𝗙𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗮𝗯𝗮 𝗼𝗻 𝟮𝟮 𝗢𝗰𝘁 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲. Visit us at 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝟲 to catch up and discuss how we can support your treasury and finance operations.

We’d also love to see you at our live cash forecasting demonstration..! What if 70% of your forecasting time disappeared? Come find out, 𝟭𝟯:𝟮𝟬–𝟭𝟰:𝟭𝟬 𝗶𝗻 𝗕𝗼𝗮𝗿𝗱𝗿𝗼𝗼𝗺 𝟰 where 𝗧𝗶𝗺 𝗥𝗮𝗺𝗹𝘂𝗴𝗮𝗮𝗻, 𝗕𝘂𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗲𝘀𝘀 𝗛𝗲𝗮𝗱: 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮𝘁 𝗧𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘀𝘂𝗿𝘆𝗢𝗡𝗘, will demonstrate how a dedicated machine-learning-driven tool uses actual cash data to reduce manual forecasting effort, identify trends and give finance teams a clearer view of future cash flows.

The session will explore how trend forecasts can achieve 98 % accuracy and show the tool in action, giving you a practical look at what this could mean for your finance team.

We look forward to seeing you there!

📅Thursday, 22 October 2026
📍Sandton Convention Centre

South Africa’s expected tax windfall could support the rand and improve government’s fiscal position. How that revenue i...
19/10/2026

South Africa’s expected tax windfall could support the rand and improve government’s fiscal position. How that revenue is used, and what the next three years hold for borrowing and debt, will matter to markets assessing the country’s credit outlook.

This week’s TreasuryONE and ETM Analytics market review looks ahead to the medium-term budget policy statement and September’s inflation figures. A primary surplus excludes interest payments, leaving debt-servicing costs and weak economic growth central to the fiscal picture.

Elevated oil and diesel prices are also complicating the interest rate outlook. Rand resilience offers some relief, but persistent fuel costs could increase pressure on the Reserve Bank to act.

Watch the full weekly review: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ijj_PKBlrew

The Dollar has started the new week largely unchanged from Friday's softer closing levels despite increasing violent pro...
19/10/2026

The Dollar has started the new week largely unchanged from Friday's softer closing levels despite increasing violent protests in France and an elevated Oil price. Protests over the high cost of living saw the worst unrest in France in years, which is likely to put some pressure on French bonds and the Euro. The DXY index is currently at 101.87, after having lost some ground on Friday as Fed rate-hike expectations faded. Comments by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh that the central bank is not pre-judging interest rate directions have lifted the probability of a Fed pause to roughly 84%. There is little in the way of US economic data this week so the focus is likely to be on events in Europe and the Middle East. The Chinese Yuan is trading at its best level in 4 years after Q3 GDP beat forecasts.

The Rand is holding steady at Friday's firmer closing level, currently sitting at R16.46, ahead of Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana's MTBPS on Wednesday. Local inflation data is also due for release on Wednesday, which could provide clues as to what the SARB's next monetary policy moves might be. The Rand is being supported by an improvement in precious metal prices this morning.

Gold, along with both Platinum and Palladium are trading higher this morning on the back of fading expectations of any immediate Fed rate hikes. Lower US bond yields have also lifted demand for Gold in the short term. Brent crude has eased back to just below the $108.00 level, however, Ukrainian strikes on Russian infrastructure and continued Iranian attacks on commercial shipping in the Strait will keep prices elevated.

8.89% was the highest yield earned by one of our Money Market & Fixed Income Funds in Sept 2026.👉 Compare and place surp...
16/10/2026

8.89% was the highest yield earned by one of our Money Market & Fixed Income Funds in Sept 2026.

👉 Compare and place surplus cash across South Africa’s top money market and income funds from a single platform. Better yield, full liquidity, no lock-ins.

👉 https://treasuryone.co.za/money-market-funds/

The Dollar DXY index has slipped to just below the 102.00 level after having touched a 52-week high of 102.95 earlier in...
16/10/2026

The Dollar DXY index has slipped to just below the 102.00 level after having touched a 52-week high of 102.95 earlier in the week. A rally in US bond yields, along with less hawkish Fed commentary have contributed to a bout of long-Dollar profit-taking. The downward move in the Dollar comes despite the hotter-than-expected US CPI and PPI data, as well as strong US consumer spending numbers. The Euro has recovered to 1.1230 levels ahead of today's EU inflation data, which is expected to have jumped to 3.8% versus last month's 3.2% number. The Pound has also recovered to be trading back above the 1.3300 level.
The Rand is trading firmer at R16.45 this morning as it continues to recover from the sell-off earlier in the week. A softer Dollar, and recovery in commodity prices are currently offering some support for the local currency.

Gold trading flat around last night's firmer closing level, Oil prices remain elevated
Gold is holding on to yesterday's gains, trading at $4,172 as the softer Dollar and institutional demand offset the impact of the hot US inflation data. Brent crude is trading at $105.45 with the geopolitical landscape in the Middle East still extremely volatile. US Central Command confirmed the sinking of 2 cargo ships by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, while Houthi rebels have vowed further strikes on Saudi infrastructure.

Asian stocks rose, led by tech shares, helped by strong Chinese trade data and chip-equipment maker ASML saying demand w...
14/10/2026

Asian stocks rose, led by tech shares, helped by strong Chinese trade data and chip-equipment maker ASML saying demand will outpace its supply through 2028. Sentiment was also supported by New York Fed President John Williams, who said one more US rate hike this year is likely appropriate but he sees no need for further increases in 2027. US Treasury yields eased slightly, with the 10-year near 5.21%, and the dollar softened, though the move looks more like a pause than a turn in the “higher for longer” story.

Brent crude rose back above $106 a barrel after Houthi missiles hit Saudi Aramco’s headquarters, causing a fire, while Iranian attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz continue. Gulf oil is still flowing, and Saudi output recovered strongly last month, but supply risks remain high. President Trump is also facing pushback from Republican senators over his Russian diesel deal.

The rand recovered to around R16.46, helped by the softer dollar, and local demand for South African government bonds remained strong at Tuesday’s auction. All eyes are on today’s US inflation report, the last before the Fed’s 28 October meeting. Markets expect prices to rise 0.6% in September, driven by fuel, with core inflation at 0.2%. A softer reading could push the rand towards R16.35, while a hotter one could send it back to around R16.55 as US yields and the dollar rise.

Stocks are under pressure as investors grow nervous about the artificial intelligence boom. South Korea’s Kospi plunged ...
13/10/2026

Stocks are under pressure as investors grow nervous about the artificial intelligence boom. South Korea’s Kospi plunged more than 6%, with chipmakers Samsung and SK Hynix each down about 8%, and Asian shares fell to their lowest since August. Concerns include whether heavy AI spending will pay off at today’s high borrowing costs, rising competition from China, and warnings from Broadcom’s CEO that some AI investors are behaving like gamblers. US and European futures point lower, with US bank earnings, starting today with JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Wells Fargo, now a key test for sentiment.

The stock sell-off has pushed investors into safer assets. US Treasuries rallied as trading resumed after the holiday, with the 10-year yield falling about 5 basis points to around 5.20%, and European bonds also gained. The US dollar edged lower, ending a four-day winning streak, as attention turns to tomorrow’s US inflation data.

Brent crude slipped about 1% to around $105 a barrel after rising more than 6% over the previous three days. Russian diesel supply eased fuel prices slightly, but risks remain with Houthi attacks on Riyadh’s airport killed at least 16 people, including a US citizen, tanker strikes in the Strait of Hormuz are increasing, and President Trump says his Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire has already been violated. Saudi Arabia is working to ship more oil through routes that avoid Hormuz.

The rand is showing resilience against a stronger dollar, with firmer metal prices offering support. TreasuryONE’s lates...
12/10/2026

The rand is showing resilience against a stronger dollar, with firmer metal prices offering support. TreasuryONE’s latest weekly market update points to a near-term trading range of R16.30 to R16.70 to the dollar.

Wednesday’s US inflation release will be a key event for markets. Elevated oil prices continue to feed through to business and transport costs, while the need to replenish strategic reserves could prolong pressure on energy prices.

In this week’s discussion with ETM Analytics, we look at the outlook for US interest rates, developments in oil and diesel supply, and the factors supporting the rand ahead of South Africa’s medium-term budget statement.

Watch the full update: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T0KBM7iDMjk

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Lynnwood Bridge Office Park, Bloukrans Building 1st Floor
Pretoria
0181

Opening Hours

Monday 07:00 - 18:00
Tuesday 07:00 - 18:00
Wednesday 07:00 - 18:00
Thursday 07:00 - 18:00
Friday 07:00 - 17:00

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+27861114088

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