21/07/2020
DEBT REPAYMENT HOLIDAYS
There is a screenshot of someone’s bond statement that was widely shared on Twitter which illustrated unintended consequences of debt repayment breaks. The person had requested Nedbank for a 3 month payment break, which the bank granted. Her revised statement showed a 17 month extension to her repayment due to the break, moving her remaining period from 236 months to 253, as well as an increase in instalment.
Temporary Solution, Semi-permanent Problem
The lockdown has had victims across the board so far – from businesses to households, financial to emotional turmoil. Stats SA reported a 2% drop in GDP for the first quarter of 2020, deepening the recession the country is already in the midst of. The Finance Minister reported in the Emergency Budget of 24 June 2020 that the country is expected to contract by 7.2% in the year. Banks and other creditors therefore have little room for concession, and yet have strove to assist their clients affected by the lockdown. At 15 June, FNB reported they had offered 300,000 customers payment breaks through a 60-month repayment term, over and above their Covid-19 relief programme. ABSA offered 682,000 people customised repayment assistance, also reportedly over and above their relief measures. Nedbank had also assisted 228,000 clients. The deferments furthermore do not register as missed payments on the creditors’ credit reports. As generous as this is of the banks, it is imperative for their continued survival and client retention.
Need for Payment Breaks
All this assistance from banks has come at a cost to them. African Bank, in their interim results, reported that they set aside a Covid-19 specific provision of R550 million. With demand for new accounts falling drastically as big businesses realign and retrench, and small businesses fight for survival, the banks’ lending capacity is also affected. This is why for banks were happy to give payment breaks and yet continue capitalising interest on outstanding balances. The result in the long term was that you will repay your loans over a longer period of time on average. For most people though, this was worth it as their incomes had taken a knock during the hard lockdown.
The Covid breaks were also a relatively safe solution for banks as the qualification criteria for the loans included the requirement that one had to be in good standing. This means that the default risk after the break is limited, at the same time the compounded interest during the “break” period would further cover the risk.
Effect on Consumers of Payment Breaks
The end of the 3-month period saw instalments revert back to the original amounts. With payment breaks only affecting instalments and not interest rates, one major effect has been that the capitalised interest resulted in major increases in the cost of debt. Capitec Bank is offering to write off the interest accrued should the clients honour payments and continue to be in good standing for 12 months thereafter. Other banks, however, are capitalising the interest. In the instance of short-term loans whose repayment periods were not revised, the instalments increased where there was affordability. This is leaving a lot of people in rather precarious positions.
Another point to note is the end of the moratorium on legal action for defaults. This means that creditors have now commenced the process of summonsing for payment defaults and, in the case of secured assets, resumed repossession procedures.
Remedies
Given the uncertainty of the times with regards to retrenchments and even the viability of businesses, it is imperative to have savings pockets. These will act as a buffer, as even small savings will help consumers avoid unnecessary consumptive borrowing.
Reducing instalments to affordable amounts is another key. Most financial wellness coaches recommend a debt to income ratio below 36% as being healthy. Coupled with emergency savings and income protection insurances, this will help the consumer to reduce the shock of income reduction, retrenchment and other unforeseen circumstances.
Another key factor to look out for is the average cost of one’s debt. In these uncertain times, it will be important to reduce the cost of the debt you are carrying. One should aim to increase payment where possible to the debt with the highest levels of interest so that they get paid off first.
Proactive Assistance
At Credix, we have specialists and coaches who can give advice on savings strategies, credit report management, debt consolidation, debt restructuring and debt management. We offer free advice, and provide credit reports on assessments. Get in touch with us for a free (and obligation free) Credit Health Assessment.