Set stock market goals (2026)

20/04/2023

✨ [US Stock Market]
Three major stock indexes are close to a flat close, popular Chinese stocks, star technology stocks weak performance. As of the close, the Dow fell 0.23%, the Nasdaq rose 0.03%, the S&P fell 0.01%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.447% to close at 3.595%, a -65 basis point spread compared to the two-year Treasury yield. The panic index VIX fell 2.2% and Brent crude oil closed down 2.22%. Spot gold continued to move higher from Nov '22 to date, closing 0.52% lower yesterday at $1994.71/oz. The U.S. dollar index, which has continued to fall from its October '22 high, has rebounded in recent weeks, closing up 0.01% yesterday at 101.96
U.S. EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve stocks for the week to April 14 recorded the lowest since the week of Oct. 28, 1983; the decline was recorded the largest since the week of Dec. 30, 2022. The Association of German Gas Storage Operators said Germany may not meet its gas storage target for winter 2024. Dutch electricity prices fell into negative territory at one point amid a large supply of clean power.
The EU is ready to provide a 100 million euro aid package for the food market and will start investigating other sensitive products related to the agricultural market situation. The Hungarian government will ban imports of 25 Ukrainian agricultural products. UK CPI exceeded expectations and traders raised their bets on the Bank of England's interest rate peak by 14 basis points to 5%. The Swiss central bank prepares to sell foreign currencies on worries about continued inflation. Unions representing about 155,000 workers in Canada's public sector called for a strike starting Wednesday after it failed to reach a new pay deal with the federal government. Sudan goes on another 24-hour cease-fire; Japan, for its part, prepares to evacuate its citizens, numbering 60.
Citigroup postponed its forecast for the start of the U.S. recession from the third quarter to the fourth quarter. Morgan Stanley's CEO expects the Fed to cut interest rates in 2024. U.S. Republicans, House Speaker McCarthy proposed to raise the debt ceiling by $1.5 trillion or suspend it until the end of March next year, which also includes a series of provisions for spending cuts that are difficult for the White House to accept. U.S. moderates from both parties are worried about the federal debt being dragged into default (as soon as June) in negotiations between the parties and propose a backup plan: suspend the debt ceiling until the end of the year. According to the Fed's Brown Book: overall economic activity has changed little in recent weeks; U.S. job growth is currently slowing, the labor market is tightening, and growth expectations for the economy going forward remain largely unchanged.

19/04/2023

✨ [US Equity Markets]
All three major stock indexes close near flat, WSB concepts, popular Chinese stocks mostly close lower. By the close, the Dow was down 0.03%, the Nasdaq was down 0.04% and the S&P was up 0.09%. The US 10-year Treasury yield fell 0.694% to close at 3.579%, a -62 basis point spread compared to the two-year Treasury yield. The panic index VIX fell 0.71% and Brent crude oil closed 0.04% lower. Spot gold continued to move higher from Nov 22 to date, closing 0.5% higher yesterday at $2005.13/oz. The US Dollar Index continued to retreat from its highs, closing at 101.73
US new housing starts totaled 1.42 million annualized in March vs. 1.4 million expected and 1.45 million previously. US construction permits totaled 1.143 million in March vs. 1.145 million expected and 1.524 million previously. US single-family home construction increased in March, while future building permits surged, suggesting the worst of the housing market downturn may be behind us. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of housing construction, rose 2.7 per cent to a seasonally adjusted 861,000 units last month, the Commerce Department said on Tuesday. February's figure was revised higher to show the rate of single-family construction rose to 838,000 units, rather than the previously reported rate of 830,000 units. The Fed's aggressive rate hikes have pushed the housing market into recession, with residential investment contracting for seven consecutive quarters, the longest since the bursting of the housing bubble triggered by the financial crisis in 2008. However, there are signs that the US housing market is stabilising at very depressed levels. The National Association of Home Builders' Housing Market Index climbed to a seven-month high in April. Mortgage rates have fallen back from last year's highs.
The European Parliament voted to approve EU carbon market reforms, supporting a 62% reduction in EU carbon market emissions from 2005 levels by 2030; and the adoption of an EU carbon border tax, imposing a CO2 cost on imports of steel, cement, aluminium, fertiliser, electricity and hydrogen. News a few days ago that India was considering changes to its income tax laws, with a focus on capital gains; the Indian tax authorities have since said that the government has not received proposals to raise capital gains tax on high income earners.
Fed official speaks - Bullard: supports raising rates to 5.75% and keeping them there for longer. Markets are exaggerating recession fears and should not give expectations that we will not take more action; Bostic: supports another rate hike and then maintaining it for a while; economy still has plenty of momentum and inflation is too high.

18/04/2023

✨ [US Stock Market]
The three major stock indexes collectively closed higher, ending up, the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed up 3.18%. By the close of trading, the Dow rose 0.3%, the Nasdaq rose 0.28%, the S&P rose 0.33%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose 2.474% to close at 3.604%, compared to the two-year Treasury yield spread of -59 basis points. The panic index VIX fell 0.7%, Brent crude oil closed down 1.94% and spot gold continued to move higher from Nov 22 so far, closing 0.47% lower yesterday at $1995.22/oz. The U.S. dollar index continued to fall from its highs, closing at 102.1
The NAHB Housing Market Index registered 45 in April, showing that U.S. single-family home builder confidence improved for the fourth consecutive month as a lack of supply of completed homes and falling mortgage rates boosted demand for new homes, but a shortage of construction materials remains a major challenge. nahb president Alicia Huey said builders noted that mortgage rates fell further below 6% and demand for housing is expected to further increase. Nevertheless, the industry continues to be plagued by construction material issues, including a lack of electrical transformer equipment. New home sales have increased for three consecutive months, and homebuyers are eager to take advantage of falling mortgage rates. Data from mortgage finance agency Freddie Mac showed that 30-year fixed mortgage rates have fallen from a peak of 7.08 percent in early November to 6.27 percent last week. In addition, the NAHB survey found that 30 percent of builders reported price reductions this month, down from 31 percent in March. The percentage using incentives to boost sales rose to 59 percent, up from 58 percent in March.
According to U.S. House Speaker McCarthy: The House will vote in the coming weeks on a bill that would extend the debt ceiling into next year. The British Parliamentary Standards Committee launched an investigation into British Prime Minister Sunac, which involves the declaration of interests. When asked about changing the 2% inflation target, ECB President Lagarde said we can discuss it once the inflation target is achieved.
Russia will raise its oil export tariff to $14.4 per ton from May 1. G7 will maintain a $60 per barrel price cap on Russian crude, G7 officials said. According to sources: Iraq and Kurdistan Region are close to an agreement to resume oil exports from the north. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said: thank Brazil for its contribution to the resolution of the conflict in Ukraine and hope that it will end soon.

17/04/2023

🔥Latest industry news sharing, analysis of global hotspot events, the most practical stock knowledge (bright bank financial reports can't beat inflation concerns, Waller hawks speech, three major stock indexes fluctuate, bank stocks generally closed higher, JPMorgan rose more than 7%, an increase Largest single-day earnings since November 2020, Q1 revenue, diluted EPS beats expectations)
✨ [US Stock Market]
The three major stock indexes fluctuated and closed lower, and bank stocks generally closed higher. As of the close, the Dow fell 0.42%, the Nasdaq fell 0.35%, and the S&P fell 0.21%. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose 1.972% to settle at 3.517%, a spread of -59 basis points over the two-year yield. The panic index VIX fell 4.1%, Brent crude oil closed down 1.03%, and spot gold continued to rise from November 22 to now, closing down 1.76% to $2004.59/oz yesterday. The U.S. dollar index continued to fall from its high level, closing at 101.62
✨ [Industry sector]
Energy and financials closed up 0.18% and 0.98%, respectively, while the other nine S&P sectors closed lower: Communications, Industrials, High Tech, Consumer Staples, Materials and Healthcare all closed down 0.8% or less, while Utilities and Real estate closed down 1.12% and 1.72% respectively

14/04/2023

🔥Latest industry news to share, analysis of the world's hottest events, and the most practical stock knowledge (Jobs and inflation both cool off as three major stock indices continue to advance and star tech stocks rise in general; PPI slows more than expected and initial jobless claims record first year-over-year rise in three weeks)
✨ [US Stock Market]
The three major stock indices continued to move higher, with star tech stocks rising across the board. By the close of trading, the Dow was up 1.14%, the Nasdaq was up 1.99%, the biggest gain of the month, and the S&P was up 1.33%. The US 10-year Treasury yield rose 1.621% to close at 3.449%, a -52 basis point difference compared to the two-year Treasury yield. The panic index VIX fell 6.76% and Brent crude oil closed down 1.03%. Spot gold continued to move higher from Nov 22 to date, closing up 1.27% at $2040.54/oz yesterday. The US Dollar Index continued to retreat from its highs, closing at 101.02
The US monthly PPI rate for March recorded a weaker than expected -0.5%, a new low since April 2020, reinforcing market expectations that the Fed rate hike has peaked. US initial jobless claims of 239,000 for the week to 8 April recorded the first rise in three weeks, with California accounting for more than a third of the increase, suggesting some more signs of softening in the labour market, adding to evidence that the labour market is starting to weaken after the Fed's rate hike.
US Republicans are proposing a one-year extension of the debt ceiling moratorium to open negotiations with Biden on spending. The size of discount window loans provided by the Fed fell to $67.6 billion in the week ended 13 April from $69.7 billion a week earlier; loans to finance new instruments (BTFP) fell to $71.8 billion from $79 billion a week earlier; and loans provided to FDIC transition banks fell to $172.6 billion from $174.6 billion a week earlier. truist investment bank stopped selling and trading housing mortgage bonds (MBS) and government agency bonds.
Five people familiar with the matter said ECB officials were gradually reaching consensus on a 25BP rate hike in May, while two officials said they would not rule out a 50BP hike. The EU Data Protection Board decided to set up a special working group to exchange information on possible enforcement action by data protection authorities, the statement showed. The UK economy was unexpectedly brought to a standstill in February as public services were crippled by strikes in February.
According to Energoatom: a Russian mine exploded near the reactor generator room at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant. According to OPEC monthly report: global crude oil demand growth forecast to remain at 2.32 million barrels per day in 2023, with data suggesting oil production cuts will lead to a widening supply gap.
✨ [Industry Sectors]
Outside of real estate, which closed down 0.32%, all other 10 S&P sectors closed higher: utilities edged up 0.01%, industrials, consumer staples, energy, semiconductors, and financials all closed up 0.9% or less, while raw materials, health care, high tech, and communications closed up 1.03%, 1.3%, 1.86%, and 2.08%, respectively
✨ [Live News]
1. Amazon joins generative AI race to target cloud customers
2. US Republicans propose to extend debt ceiling moratorium by one year
3. Musk: Twitter won't take a cut of creators' 'bounty fees' for the next 12 months
4.Microsoft open source Deep Speed Chat can improve training speed by more than 15 times
5. Apple triples iPhone production in India to $7 billion

13/04/2023

[April 13 financial breakfast: gold prices rise, signs of cooling inflation make the Fed suspend interest rate hike bets rise]

The dollar fell on Wednesday after data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose less than expected in March, raising expectations that the Federal Reserve may stop raising interest rates after a May hike, and gold jumped; oil prices rose 2% as cooling U.S. inflation spurred hopes that the Fed is getting closer to ending its rate hike cycle and eased the impact of a small increase in U.S. crude oil inventories.

Precious Metals
Gold jumped on Wednesday as signs of cooling inflation bolstered bets of an imminent pause in U.S. interest rate hikes, even as traders braced for another rate hike in May.

Crude Oil
Oil prices rose 2% on Wednesday as U.S. data showing cooling inflation fueled hopes that the Federal Reserve is getting closer to ending its rate hike cycle and eased the impact of a small increase in U.S. crude inventories.

Foreign exchange
The dollar fell Wednesday after data showed U.S. consumer prices rose less than expected in March, raising expectations that the Federal Reserve may stop raising interest rates after a May hike.

Hong Kong stocks
The Hang Seng Index rose 0.17%, while the Hang Seng Technology Index fell 0.17%. Sunac China fell over 55%, Alibaba, ZTE and Jingdong Group fell over 2%; Ideal Auto rose over 3%.

12/04/2023

[April 12 Financial Breakfast: Waiting for inflation data to kick off, gold prices back above $2000/oz]

The dollar fell on Tuesday as investors awaited inflation data to learn more about whether price pressures are receding and what that means for further Fed rate hikes, and gold climbed back above the key $2,000 level as the dollar retreated from its peak in the previous session; oil prices rose about 2 percent on hopes that the Fed may ease policy after the release of a key U.S. inflation report this week tightening, although concerns about demand remain.

Precious Metals
Gold climbed back above the key $2,000 level on Tuesday as the dollar retreated from the previous session's peak, while traders waited on the sidelines for U.S. inflation data for clues on future interest rate hikes.

Crude Oil
Oil prices rose about 2 percent on Tuesday on hopes the Federal Reserve may ease policy tightening after a key U.S. inflation report this week, though concerns about demand remain.

Foreign exchange
The dollar fell Tuesday as investors awaited inflation data to learn more about whether price pressures are receding and what that means for further Fed rate hikes.

Hong Kong stocks
The HSI fell 0.86% and the Hang Seng Technology Index fell 1.92%. ChatGPT concept stocks were the top losers, with Tencent Holdings down more than 5%, Zhihu down more than 4%, Shang Tang down about 4%, and Jingdong Group, Alibaba and Meituan all down more than 2%.😎

11/04/2023

🔥The latest industry news to share, the world's most popular events analysis, the most practical stock knowledge (three major stock indexes opened lower, semiconductor led the market, the general decline in Chinese stocks; Micron Technology rose more than 8%, Samsung Electronics announced that it will cut memory chip production to "reasonable levels", the move will make the supply-demand balance and potential rebound more quickly return)
✨ [US Stock Market News].
Yesterday, the three major U.S. stock indexes opened lower and higher, led by the semiconductor market, the general decline in Chinese stocks. By the close, the Dow was up 0.3%, the Nasdaq was down 0.03% and the S&P was up 0.1%. The US 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.234% to close at 3.421%, a -59 basis point difference compared to the two-year Treasury yield. The panic index VIX rose 3.1%, Brent crude oil closed 0.78% lower and spot gold, which has continued to move higher from Nov 22 to date, closed 0.82% lower yesterday at $1991.3/oz. The US Dollar Index continued to retreat from its highs to close at 102.55.
U.S. wholesale sales for February 0.4% month-on-month vs. 0.60% expected and 1.00% previously. The Federal Home Loan Bank issued a sharp drop in bonds, suggesting that the US banking crisis is easing. According to CNN: US President Joe Biden said he would run for president again in 2024. Biden signed a bill to end the national emergency for the new crown epidemic.
A Saudi delegation has arrived in Tehran to reopen the embassy, said an Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman. Continued yield curve control (YCC) and maintaining negative interest rates are appropriate, says Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueta.
The market digested the expected US non-farm payrolls for March released on Friday, with both the unemployment rate and hourly earnings growth falling year-on-year, suggesting that the US labour market remains resilient and inflation is trending lower, with traders betting that the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in May rose to 80%. With investor concerns about a looming recession in the US rising, the market focused on the March CPI consumer inflation and PPI producer price indices due for release on Wednesday and Thursday, as well as the FOMC March meeting minutes for clues on the path of the Fed's interest rate policy in May.
✨ [Industry Sectors] In addition to communications, utilities, health care and high tech, which closed down 0.22%, 0.2%, 0.07% and 0.05% respectively, and daily consumption, which closed flat at 0%, the other six S&P sectors all closed higher: financials, raw materials, real estate, energy and industrials all closed up 1% or less, and semiconductors closed up 1.77%.
✨ [News]
1. Wells Fargo: Expect Tesla (TSLA.O) Q1 auto gross margin to fall below 20% target
2. Consumer electronics foundry PEGATRON's March revenue up nearly 10% YoY, notebook business beats expectations
3. US natural gas surges on buying lows at key support levels
4. Tata Group to take over Wistron's iPhone manufacturing plant in India by end-April, sources say
5. Technology demand sluggish, Apple PC shipments down 40% in Q1

10/04/2023

[April 10 financial breakfast: be wary of the non-farm payrolls! Focus on the Fed meeting minutes, focus on the three major monthly oil market reports]

This week's focus on the Fed minutes, focus on a number of Fed officials' speeches, at the same time, because of Good Friday, the majority of the global gold and crude oil market closed last Friday, non-farm payrolls data triggered by the market or open on Monday, alert to the short term volatility of gold and crude oil; crude oil market focus on the three major monthly reports, in addition, focus on the Bank of Canada interest rate resolution and the European Central Bank officials speak.

Precious metals
Gold and crude oil markets were closed Friday for Good Friday; gold prices fell last Thursday, but rose weekly amid concerns about a slowdown in the economy triggered by weak U.S. economic data.

Crude Oil
Oil prices were little changed last Thursday but posted their third consecutive weekly gain as the market weighed further production cuts from OPEC+ and a decline in U.S. oil inventories against concerns about the global economic outlook.

Forex
The dollar strengthened on Friday after data showed job gains in the world's largest economy last month, suggesting the Federal Reserve may have to raise interest rates next month.😎

10/04/2023

In the past week, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively closed higher. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.62% to 12087.96 points; the S&P 500 Index rose 1.34% to 4105.02 points; the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.91% to 33485.29 points. After the previous rebound, U.S. stocks will face a valuation adjustment in April, and asset allocation is optimistic about safe-haven assets such as U.S. bonds and gold. At present, the U.S. bond market is already attractive to global funds, while the U.S. stock market is already too high, and the central banks of developed countries are also following the Fed to raise interest rates, detonating the stock market bubbles of developed countries, leading to the global financial crisis, and global funds are likely to flow to the U.S. , part of the funds may flow to China.😎

09/04/2023

The stock market index is declining, how to seize new opportunities? Earn $8,000 a day by using the teacher's smart stock index to increase your trading winning rate🥰

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