Brian J. Odelli, Vice President/Investments - Stifel

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11/02/2026

In this note, Chief Washington Policy Strategist, Brian Gardner, forecasts how the equity markets might react on Wednesday morning to the midterm election results (to the extent the outcome is known). The market may have a knee-jerk reaction followed by a later reassessment. Regardless of the outcome, however, the base case is for gridlock in the coming two years. Few major policy changes are anticipated. Also given is the final outlook for the election. The race for the Senate majority is still too close to call, but if forced to make a prediction, a 50/50 Senate with Vice President Vance breaking the tie in favor of the Republicans is expected. It is noted that if the Senate majority is dependent on the Alaska race, then it could be several weeks before the outcome is known. The race for the House has been over for some time. The only question is the size of the Democrats' majority. It is thought it will be roughly in line with the post-World War II era during which the party not holding the White House has gained an average of 26 seats.

Read more here: https://livesocial.seismic.com/acIhor

10/28/2026

Startups are gene-editing crops to glow or turn purple when disease or pests strike, helping farmers spot trouble and act without widespread chemical use. A mood ring for the farm. If only the basil on the windowsill were this forthcoming.

For more information on this and to read the full piece, click here: https://livesocial.seismic.com/avVW_j

10/21/2026

This note looks at how several nonfinancial sectors could fare if Democrats win the midterm elections. As explained in the previous note, which covered financial services, a gridlock is expected. In such a situation, the Trump administration's regulatory agenda might be slowed down but not stopped. Democrats would lack the ability to reverse most of the Trump legislative agenda that has been implemented over the past two years.

Gridlock does not mean that no legislation will pass, but Democrats will be limited to pressure points (i.e. "must-pass" legislation) in order to enact some of their agenda. This note discusses what might be possible.

The view of the state of the election has not changed. Democrats are favored overwhelmingly to win the House. The race for the Senate majority is more of a coin flip. It is thought that Republicans have a better chance to remain in power there than do the prediction markets.

Read more here: https://livesocial.seismic.com/aKlh_f

10/21/2026

Finally, a price drop worth raising a glass to. California w**eries are selling surplus premium w**e to retailers that put it under their own labels. One buyer says w**e that would normally cost $45-$85 can sell for around $9.99. Bad news for the vineyard; considerably better news for the dinner party.

For more information on this and to read the full piece, click here: https://livesocial.seismic.com/ajgwcA

10/14/2026

Checked the weather? Streamed a football game on a flight? Sent a text from a remote area? There's a good chance a satellite played a role. When people think about the space economy, they often picture astronauts, moon missions, and sci-fi-worthy technology. The reality is much more Earth-focused. Satellites already help power communications, navigation, weather forecasting, agriculture, transportation, and national security.

For more information on this and to read the full piece, click here: https://livesocial.seismic.com/auhDrP

10/13/2026

Political tailwinds have benefited the financial services sector during the first two years of President Trump's term. We doubt that a Democratic win in the midterm elections would create a headwind for the industry, but, it might not enjoy as strong of a following breeze as it has to this point. In this note, it is discussed how the political environment could change for financials. Some headline risk is expected, especially for the Global Systemically Important Banks (GSIBs). However, few changes in policy are expected, although it is acknowledged there is an increased risk for the credit card industry.

Also updated are thoughts on the state of the midterms. The base case remains: The House is likely to flip, while the Republicans still maintain a slim advantage to retain the Senate (an admittedly nonconsensus view). In the Senate, Democrats lead the polls in enough races to win, but several of the leads are within the margin of error. It has been questioned whether they will hold up.

Read more here: https://livesocial.seismic.com/as3vzU

10/07/2026

When the Art Gallery of Ontario acquired Portrait of a Lady Holding an Orange Blossom, curator Adam Levine couldn't resist a good mystery. Six years of archival digging, conservation work, crowdsourcing, and even a podcast later, the museum finally identified both the subject and the artist. Apparently, art history is just a very slow episode of CSI.

For more information on this and to read the full piece, click here: https://livesocial.seismic.com/a5MATB

10/01/2026

The S&P 500 was little changed in September, leaving year-to-date gains near 12%. Performance was narrow, with artificial intelligence-driven technology and semiconductor stocks leading the market, while rate-sensitive sectors, smaller companies, and large value stocks lagged.

Read the full piece: https://livesocial.seismic.com/aBUHx8

09/30/2026

The Senate might consider data center legislation before it leaves Washington to campaign for the upcoming midterms. Some are skeptical about the prospects for the Ratepayer Protection Act (RPA). If the Senate blocks the bill, then it could reemerge in the lame duck session of Congress. However, the potential output during the lame duck session will depend on the election results and might not be overly productive.

Read more here: https://livesocial.seismic.com/au0rXG

09/30/2026

Not long ago, investors were counting down to rate cuts. Now, they're debating how many more hikes the Federal Reserve has left in the tank. Fed officials reiterated that inflation remains public enemy number one. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said inflation has been "too high for too long."

For more information on this and to read the full piece, click here: https://livesocial.seismic.com/asbeAW

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