12/08/2025
๐ก ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ด, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฑ
๐๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐น๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐๐น๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ฒ ๐
Mortgage rates lost a bit of ground last week, although it really wasn't much. Mortgage rates continued to reflect the expectation of a Fed policy rate cut this week, and there was little reaction to the limited amount of economic data for the week, including inflation data.
๐ง๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ถ๐น๐น ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐น๐ฒ โ ๏ธ
Rates still appear to have limited room for improvement, though that could change depending on the marketโs reaction to Wednesdayโs Fed meeting. Still, thereโs a strong possibility we see a repeat of the last two Fed meetings, when mortgage rates moved higher afterward.
๐ ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐โ๐ ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ:
- The Fed: Markets expect the Fed to cut its policy rate by a quarter percent at this weekโs meeting, but mortgage rates already reflect that cut and wonโt move lower because of it. Instead, if markets sense the Fed may be done cutting for a while, the reaction could put upward pressure on mortgage rates.
- Fed Powell's press conference: Mortgage rates usually make the biggest move after the Fed meeting, during Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference. This could be especially true this week as Powell is asked about future Fed plans heading into 2026.