Peter Bortel institute

Peter Bortel institute Peter Bortel is investment adviser is registered in Washington. The General Partner for a Hedge Fund. From 1998-2021 he has been managing money on the buy side.

To contact the Mr. Bortel you can send him an email through seeking alpha

04/24/2022

A number of Fed officials have spoken out on rate hikes or tapering in the recent period since the March meeting, and we're looking back at the 2022 FOMC members' statements.

1, Powell: commitment to fight high inflation, if necessary, a single increase in interest rates more than 25 basis points

2, the "king of hawks" Bullard: the benchmark rate should be raised to 3.5%, do not rule out the possibility of raising rates by 75 basis points

3, the "second-in-command" Brainard: will quickly raise interest rates to a neutral level

4, the "third in command" Williams: May rate hike of 50 basis points is a reasonable choice

5, Waller: the need to reach neutral rates in the second half of this year

6, George: 50 basis points is a choice that must be considered

7, Meister: the interest rate will be raised to about 2.5% by the end of the year

8, Harker: inflation is widespread and too high, the Fed should quickly raise interest rates to 2.5%

In addition to a number of vote members, other Fed officials' speeches are also worth noting.

04/24/2022

The arrow is on the string! Fed all eagle vigorously build momentum, May rate hike 50 basis points has become a certainty

The Fed, which is particularly good at communicating with the market, succeeded in convincing people before the May meeting that the Fed will offer a combination of "50 basis points + tapering" at the meeting to complete its goal of accelerating the tightening of monetary policy.

U.S. stocks extended their losses, with the Nasdaq down 1.79%, the S&P 500 down 1.86% and the Dow down 1.79%. Many inve...
04/22/2022

U.S. stocks extended their losses, with the Nasdaq down 1.79%, the S&P 500 down 1.86% and the Dow down 1.79%.

Many investment strategies in the market, good investment to find the right way

The Fed is just tough-talking and inflation will continue to rise
04/22/2022

The Fed is just tough-talking and inflation will continue to rise

04/21/2022

1.The deterioration of the situation in Russia and Ukraine has caused market concerns, and the rise in oil prices is unstoppable. Oil companies $Ovintiv (OVV)$ and $Marathon Oil (MRO)$ rose 4.22% and 3.51% respectively, both hitting new highs. Earlier, JPMorgan predicted that the possibility of a European embargo on Russian crude oil would increase, saying that oil prices would soar to $185 a barrel in this case.

2.Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) rose 0.44% to a new 52-week high after the company reported Q1 revenue of $23.4 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $2.67, beating market expectations of $2.59. The company also announced a 6.6% increase in its quarterly dividend to $1.13 per share from $1.06.

3.The conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues, and military stocks continue to strengthen. $Raytheon Technologies (RTX)$ has repeatedly broken new highs, rising nearly 23% this year. On the news, the company won a contract worth $1.68 billion from the U.S. Navy.

4."Big Blue" $IBM Corp (IBM)$ rose more than 7% overnight. The company's Q1 performance was strong, with revenue of $14.2 billion and earnings per share of $1.40, both higher than market expectations. Many big banks raised their target prices .

04/21/2022

Since April, expectations of rising interest rates and shrinking balance sheets have weighed on the valuations of U.S. stock growth stocks. U.S. stock funds have turned to defensive industries, and many sectors have recorded gains. Healthcare giants $UnitedHealth(UNH)$, $Anthem(ANTM.)$ , real estate investment giant $AMBO (PLD)$, beverage giant $Coca-Cola (KO.)$, $Pepsi (PEP.)$, retail giant $Walmart (WMT.)$ all recorded good performance, and their stock prices all hit 52-week highs .

04/20/2022

San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said Wednesday that it's "prudent" for the central bank to lift its near-term target rate to a "more neutral stance," or 2.5% in her view, according to a speech. This compares with the current target rate of 0.25% to 0.50%.

“I see an expeditious march to neutral by the end of the year as a prudent path,” Daly emphasized. “We will continue to evaluate the data and the risks, but today I see little indication that the economy needs policy accommodation,” she added.

Meanwhile, markets and some Fed officials have already signaled that the Federal Open Market Committee, the central bank's policymaking arm, could hike the interbank lending rate by half percentage point at the upcoming May meeting, with more increases expected through year end. Goldman Sachs in March predicted half-point rate hikes in May and June, as well as four 25-basis-point hikes at the remaining meetings of 2022.

With the unemployment rate standing at historical lows, Daly said that the Fed's mandate of maximum employment has been reached, though its price stability goal remains "far away" from its average target amid persistently higher inflation. She added that "we still have significant work to do" to bring down surging inflation.

On April 19, Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic also called for the Fed to hike to neutral, but warned on the speediness of those rate increases.

Towards the end of February, Daly said it's time to exit extraordinary monetary accommodation.

Statistics from the United Kingdom, the United States and many developed countries show that in the past year, prices ha...
04/19/2022

Statistics from the United Kingdom, the United States and many developed countries show that in the past year, prices have risen at the fastest rate in the past 30 to 40 years. Behind this is the global increase in fuel and energy prices, which has pushed up the cost of daily life such as food, clothing, housing and transportation.

In the 12 months to February this year, inflation in the UK reached 6.2%, the highest level in the past 30 years, and may continue to rise to the highest level in 40 years. In the same period, US inflation reached 7.9%, the highest in 40 years. Russian inflation soared to 14%.

The World Bank cuts its global economic growth forecast this year,brewing a ＄170 billion aid planThe World Bank slashed ...
04/19/2022

The World Bank cuts its global economic growth forecast this year,brewing a ＄170 billion aid plan

The World Bank slashed its forecast for global economic growth in 2022 to 3.2 percent from 4.1 percent previously , citing the conflict between Russia and UKraine . World Bank President David Malpass said the European and Central Asia region 's economy is expected to contract by 4.1% this year ,the biggest factor behind the downgrade in global growth forrecasts .

Malpass revealed that the World Bank is perparing a total of about 170 billion US dollars in aid programs ,mainly to help developing countries repay their debts.According to Malpass , the funds will be used in part to support countries hosting UKrainian refugees and will also be used to aid countries struggling with food shortages .

Why did Musk insist on buying Twitter?
04/15/2022

Why did Musk insist on buying Twitter?

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