08/11/2025
Sharing some info on housing market
Housing Inventory
For the first time this year, active housing inventory actually declined week over week — dropping from 865,620 to 859,096. This is unusual for early August, when inventory typically grows.
What’s driving it? Likely a mix of:
Lower mortgage rates improving demand
Seasonal slowdown in new listings
Sellers pulling homes off the market after not getting their desired price
While inventory growth for 2025 has been one of the strongest housing stories, the growth rate has slowed from 33% at peak to 24%. If rates stay low, we may have already seen the highest growth rate for the year, even though total inventory may still rise into the fall.
image.png
Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates hit their lowest levels of 2025 last week, starting at 6.57%, dipping briefly to 6.55%, and ending back at 6.57%. This decline has already helped purchase applications and could support more buyer activity if rates continue toward the 6% range.
Buyer Activity
Purchase applications: +2% week over week and +18% year over year
Pending sales: 374,025 total (up from 367,324 last year)
27 straight weeks of year-over-year growth in purchase apps
Historically, demand strengthens when mortgage rates move from 6.64% toward 6%. If rates continue their downward trend, we could see a late-summer boost in signed contracts.
image.png
Upcoming Data This Week
All eyes will be on inflation reports, which could shape the bond market and mortgage rates:
CPI and PPI Inflation Reports – Key for rate direction
Fed speeches – May hint at policy shifts
Retail sales data – Consumer spending trends
Weekly jobless claims – If claims rise sharply, the Fed could move faster to cut rates
image.png
Takeaway for Buyers & Sellers
Buyers: Lower rates are improving affordability — consider locking in if the right home appears.
Sellers: Competition may tighten if inventory continues to slow, but realistic pricing remains key.
Future Home Loans