CB Investment Management

CB Investment Management My mission as an investment advisor is to help people avoid the hidden pitfalls in the investment process and achieve a successful long-term outcome.

I believe the relationship between data and the S&P 500 has been unprecedented in 2019. Looking at the chart above you s...
07/08/2019

I believe the relationship between data and the S&P 500 has been unprecedented in 2019. Looking at the chart above you see 2 very significant divergences in this relationship this year: 1. Historically data has preceded or been coincident with the performance of the S&P 500. Not in 2019. 2. The data has gone to new lows in 2019 and remains close to those lows. [ 984 more words ]

I believe the relationship between data and the S&P 500 has been unprecedented in 2019. Looking at the chart above you see 2 very significant divergences in this relationship this year: 1. Hist…

The disconnect between global data and stocks has never been wider. I believe there is a simple explanation. In my opini...
06/06/2019

The disconnect between global data and stocks has never been wider. I believe there is a simple explanation. In my opinion record amounts of dystopian interventions, both in the economy and markets, are becoming increasingly ineffective and possibly even counterproductive. Rather than change strategy, policy makers seem to be doing more of what isn’t working. The chart above suggests that intervention is more effective at holding up stocks, than the economy, and now the spread has never been wider. [ 845 more words ]

The disconnect between global data and stocks has never been wider. I believe there is a simple explanation. In my opinion record amounts of dystopian interventions, both in the economy and markets…

Building a tower with blocks of wood can only go so far. It seems to work well in the beginning but at some point you kn...
05/02/2019

Building a tower with blocks of wood can only go so far. It seems to work well in the beginning but at some point you know that every block you add is just one step closer to creating collapse. You are intentionally making the tower increasingly unstable. In the same way, central banks interventions are at the point where economic and market function are showing increasing signs of dysfunction and instability. [ 1,130 more word ]

Building a tower with blocks of wood can only go so far. It seems to work well in the beginning but at some point you know that every block you add is just one step closer to creating collapse. You…

“The number of zombie companies in advanced economies last year stood at 536, or 13% of the total, according to Bank of ...
04/23/2019

“The number of zombie companies in advanced economies last year stood at 536, or 13% of the total, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch.” A September 2018 BIS report wonders whether this is setting a low interest rate trap for policy. “Lower rates boost aggregate demand and raise employment and investment in the short run. But the higher prevalence of zombies they leave behind misallocate resources and weigh on productivity growth. [ 684 more words ]

“The number of zombie companies in advanced economies last year stood at 536, or 13% of the total, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch.” A September 2018 BIS report wonders whether this is s…

If you feel as though you are walking through an Alice in Wonderland film set, you are probably not alone. It appears “O...
04/02/2019

If you feel as though you are walking through an Alice in Wonderland film set, you are probably not alone. It appears “Out of sample” market experiences are proliferating across many market measures. I believe this “out of sample” experience is the direct result of conflict between two massive forces colliding at an accelerating rate. The natural organic development of markets, and unprecedented interventions from policy makers. [ 1,865 more word ]

If you feel as though you are walking through an Alice in Wonderland film set, you are probably not alone. It appears “Out of sample” market experiences are proliferating across many market measure…

Global growth is uniquely challenged with PMIs in significant downtrends at the same time in the US, China, Japan and Ge...
03/08/2019

Global growth is uniquely challenged with PMIs in significant downtrends at the same time in the US, China, Japan and Germany. The US is the only one of these 4 countries where the PMI is not already in outright contraction. Policy makers, as usual, have responded with massive amounts of debt and liquidity. “The U.S. budget deficit widened to $310 billion in the first four months of the fiscal year, underscoring the revenue hit from Republican tax cuts and an increase in government spending. 461 more words [ 362 more words ]

Global growth is uniquely challenged with PMIs in significant downtrends at the same time in the US, China, Japan and Germany. The US is the only one of these 4 countries where the PMI is not alre…

From Risk To Instability For much of Summer 2018 I wrote about the multiple market extremes that emerged, and the associ...
02/18/2019

From Risk To Instability For much of Summer 2018 I wrote about the multiple market extremes that emerged, and the associated substantial increase in risk. Shortly following, volatility accelerated higher and 2018 ended as one of the worst years ever, broadly defined for investment returns. With the Fed raising rates as late as December 2018, not even bonds had good returns over 2018, while stocks and commodities started to respond significantly to the downcycle, and recorded widespread negative annual returns. [ 398 more words ]

From Risk To Instability For much of Summer 2018 I wrote about the multiple market extremes that emerged, and the associated substantial increase in risk. Shortly following, volatility accelerated …

Global policy makers considered a 20% fall in the S&P 500 a concern, and changed their language around the end of 2018. ...
02/18/2019

Global policy makers considered a 20% fall in the S&P 500 a concern, and changed their language around the end of 2018. Historically, policy operating procedure responds by increasing either debt or liquidity to support equities. Liquidity is preferable when support needs to be injected quickly. So it is a standard reaction that global money supply took off late in Q4 2018 into early 2019. [ 81 more words ]

Global policy makers considered a 20% fall in the S&P 500 a concern, and changed their language around the end of 2018. Historically, policy operating procedure responds by increasing either de…

Financial Mindset Bootcamp Tower Club, Tysons, VA 11am 12th January 2019 including lunch Chris Belchamber, Belpointe Ass...
12/10/2018

Financial Mindset Bootcamp Tower Club, Tysons, VA 11am 12th January 2019 including lunch Chris Belchamber, Belpointe Asset Management What are the best practices of the most successful investors? Few seem to be clear and stray towards suboptimal outcomes. Chris will explain how this happens throughout the investment process. Starting with the mindset, through allocation, and even assessment measures. Together with cycle analysis, his “Investment Mindset Bootcamp” can open your eyes to unique insights and transformative outcomes. [ 108 more words ]

Financial Mindset Bootcamp Tower Club, Tysons, VA 11am 12th January 2019 including lunch Chris Belchamber, Belpointe Asset Management What are the best practices of the most successful investors? F…

Investors in US equities should no longer be under illusions about what is the main driver of the rally since 2009. Debt...
11/01/2018

Investors in US equities should no longer be under illusions about what is the main driver of the rally since 2009. Debt, and government debt in particular. Attribution was examined in detail here: The S&P 500 has left pre-tax earnings far behind, cumulatively around 50%! Pre-tax profits are cumulatively almost unchanged since the beginning of 2014. Given how overwhelmingly important the rate of debt growth is to the US stock market, it is worth examining the debt outlook in great detail. [ 1,264 more word ]

Investors in US equities should no longer be under illusions about what is the main driver of the rally since 2009. Debt, and government debt in particular. Attribution was examined in detail here:…

Free Webinar 7pm to 8pm Monday November 5th Transform Your Investment Mindset. Transform Your Long Term Wealth Accumulat...
10/27/2018

Free Webinar 7pm to 8pm Monday November 5th Transform Your Investment Mindset. Transform Your Long Term Wealth Accumulation. The challenge of becoming a successful long term investor is rarely addressed in full. Without the proper foundation the markets will find out your flaws sooner or later. The starting point is awareness and humility, because the bad news is that none of us are hardwired to be successful investors. [ 214 more words ]

Free Webinar 7pm to 8pm Monday November 5th Transform Your Investment Mindset. Transform Your Long Term Wealth Accumulation. The challenge of becoming a successful long term investor is rarely addr…

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