08/24/2026
The Million Dollar Question:
Who comes out on top of a merger: Tesla or SpaceX?
Here are the hurdles.
SpaceX is a major US government and military contractor.
Tesla has massive operations in China. That combination could draw serious regulatory scrutiny around national security.
And the valuation negotiation is going to be messy.
SPCX shareholders and Tesla shareholders both think their company is worth more. Agreeing on the ratio of ownership in the combined entity is the hardest part of any merger negotiation.
Fortune wrote this week that SpaceX may have already missed its window to buy Tesla — because when SPCX was at $225 the math worked perfectly. Now that SPCX is lower the deal gets more complicated for SpaceX shareholders.
Yahoo Finance
So here is where I land.
The merger is not confirmed.
But it is not NOT happening either.
Wedbush Securities — Dan Ives — says he expects the two companies to eventually merge. Chamath Palihapitiya says SpaceX will reverse merge into Tesla and Elon will use it to consolidate control of both into one cap table.
Every single week there is more evidence that these two companies are becoming one.
Terafab. Cursor. Grok in Tesla cars. Starlink in Cybercabs. $650 million in cross-company purchases.
The question is not IF.
The question is WHEN. And at what price.
Watch the merger headlines. Watch the Terafab construction. Watch Elon on X.
He will tell you when it is time.
I'm Jeanette Sims.
And remember — TradeThirsty my friends. 🚀