10/13/2017
IMPORTANT HEALTH INSURANCE UPDATE:
The President is signing an executive order that will supposedly halt government paid subsidies to insurance companies immediately. What does this mean? Well, on the surface and in the simplest explanation it means just what it says. Right now an enormous number of individual health insurance plans are written though the exchange where people receive their plans at a lower rate than the insurance companies actually charge. The portion that the insured doesn't pay is paid for by the government (the taxpayer).
DIGGING DEEPER. When the law was first passed congress allowed for these subsidies without the proper appropriation to do so within the law, this is according to the DOJ and "legal experts" in the administration. So the President's order is going back to the beginning and disallowing those payments based on the lack of authority to make them therefore stopping them immediately.
FINANCIAL:
Some insurance companies have been devastated by the ACA and more or less walked away from individual health insurance. But some have thrived greatly. Keeping it simple, the govt. forced companies to pay for certain services for all, like birth control and maternity for single men or mental health care for infants. Then they limited those companies to a certain percentage of profit. BUT, the nature of the beast pushed rates higher and higher and many, many people don't really see the actual cost of those plans. Example: A couple age 59 might be paying $450 per month for their plan through the exchange, but depending on the circumstances that plan likely costs $1100-1400 per month. The govt (taxpayers) are picking up $700-$1000 per month just for that couple. Now multiply that by potentially millions of people. The insurance companies are receiving big money and even at a small percentage of profit, when the revenue is billions, that profit looks pretty good.
THE PANIC:
Right now the partisanship is exploding and people from the side that originally pushed the law are filing suits across the country. Nancy Pelosi actually had the nerve to say Trump’s expected action would increase Americans’ health premiums by 20 percent or more. But here's a newsflash for Pelosi, the premiums are already slated to jump approx. 20% and they have been doing it for nearly 8 years. I don't recall her complaining in the past about rate hikes. So again, the Partisanship is going to be off the charts on this one. The important thing is to look through the fog and focus on the reality of how this is going to affect you.
THE GAME:
What most news outlets are not talking about is at this point, this is a chess move to try and get congress off their rear ends to find a fix for the whole mess that is the ACA. The President stated that the subsidies may continue if a bipartisan agreement can be reached on health care. That's a big tell. And it's probably not going to be talked about much in the press because it offers a solution instead of just fear. The bottom line of this move is the President wants the inaction to stop and something productive to be done so he's taking what I believe are pretty drastic but what appear to be legal measures to force some hands.
THE RUB:
This game from both sides of our political isle is at the cost of the people. It always is and nothing about this is different. It is my belief that Insurance companies will not simply start cancelling policies but there will no doubt be massive scrambles within the industry to try and figure out where their next golf-outing money is going to come from. In theory, if one is paying $450 per month for their plan and it should cost $1100 per month, then again, in theory, this move would cause them to owe $1100 per month. That's not realistic and if it were the case the insurance companies would collapse in no time because people just can't afford those rates. So something will be done rapidly whether on the side of the insurance companies, or a rolling back of enforcement of this order by the administration. I would advise those who are getting subsidies to not panic as I do not see the admin leaving so many who would be affected out in the cold.
FOLLOWING UP:
The crystal ball was quite clear 7 years ago. It was very easy to predict where it was going to end up. Right now, it's not so clear and admittedly I don't have the final answer. But I will stay on top of the developments and inform as the facts come out. Relax for the moment, there will be solutions.