06/17/2026
FED EXPECTED TO KEEP RATES UNCHANGED
Everyone is focused on when the Fed is going cuts rates, but here’s what many people don’t realize:
There is actually a chance the Fed could raise rates if inflation starts moving back in the wrong direction.
The Fed’s job isn’t to make mortgages cheaper, it’s to keep inflation under control.
And here’s the kicker…
Mortgage rates don’t automatically follow the Fed. We’ve seen mortgage rates improve even when the Fed wasn’t cutting, and we’ve seen them worsen while the Fed was holding steady.
That’s because mortgage rates are driven more by the bond market’s expectations of future inflation than by the Fed’s overnight lending rate.
So instead of asking, “Did the Fed cut rates?”
The better question is:
“What did the Fed say about where inflation is headed next?”
Do you think we’re gonna see a rate cut or hike?