08/21/2026
AI may not just change how mortgages are made.
It could change when millions of homeowners decide to refinance.
That's the overlooked disruption Morgan Stanley Research is watching: AI-powered tools that monitor rates, assess eligibility and reduce friction could make refinancing far easier for borrowers.
One striking estimate: If mortgage rates rally to 5.5%, even modest AI adoption could help drive an additional $2.1 trillion in refinancing activity across the U.S. residential mortgage market.
The bigger story isn't just convenience. It's how a more automated refinancing cycle could ripple across consumers, lenders, housing, fixed income and broader markets.
For investors, this is a reminder that AI's impact may show up in places that don't look like "tech" at first glance.
Read the full article to see how Morgan Stanley Research is framing AI-driven refinancing as a multi-year, cross-asset theme.
morganstanley.com