08/27/2026
🚨 Mortgage rates went DOWN slightly… so why is the market suddenly talking about the Fed possibly RAISING rates?
It sounds backwards, but there’s an important reason.
🏦 The Fed does NOT directly set mortgage rates.
Mortgage rates are heavily influenced by the bond market, including mortgage-backed securities and Treasury yields.
We recently saw some relief as falling oil prices helped ease inflation concerns and supported the bond market.
But today’s inflation data showed inflation is still running hotter than the Federal Reserve would like — which has markets increasing the odds of another potential Fed rate hike.
So we essentially have a rate roller coaster. 🎢
📉 Lower oil prices can help inflation expectations and bonds.
📈 Sticky inflation can increase pressure on the Fed to keep monetary policy tighter.
🏠 And mortgage rates are reacting to ALL of it.
That’s why I don’t recommend trying to perfectly time the mortgage market.
Instead, let’s look at what you can actually control: your payment, purchase price, seller concessions, rate-buydown opportunities and the right loan structure for your situation.
📍 Tucson | Oro Valley | Marana | Vail | Southern Arizona
Have questions about what today’s market means for your homebuying plans? Send me a message or visit JesseKLoans.com.
Jesse Kynaston | NEXA Mortgage
NMLS #2685508 | Company NMLS #1660690
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