http://edgehomefinance.com/team-member/dave-mcarthur/

The McArthur Edge Mortgage Team, The Woodlands, TX (2026)

11/14/2022

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗡𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟰, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟮

𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽 𝗼𝗳 𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 👍
Average mortgage rates improved significantly last week ahead of the Veterans Day holiday weekend, when the CPI inflation report came out showing inflation had decreased much more than was expected. Last week we said "only a surprisingly big drop in inflation would support rates improving", which is exactly what happened. We were concerned the report could have actually pushed rates higher, so this was a welcome surprise.

𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 👍
This week we expect mortgage rates to hold onto the improvements we saw from last week, the first significant rate improvements we have seen in months. However, markets have proven to be volatile the last few months, so it is suggested you stay in close contact with your mortgage professional about your unique situation in case that changes.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: Wholesale inflation data on Tuesday could play a small role in mortgage rates this week, and although we will get housing data this week it isn't likely to affect rates.
- The Fed: We will have more Fed members speaking this week, and if they signal higher Fed policy rates are likely we could see some adverse effect on mortgage rates.

11/07/2022

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗡𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟳, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟮

𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽 𝗼𝗳 𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗽𝘁 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Average mortgage rates moved higher last week when Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that the Fed is likely to raise the policy fed funds rate higher in 2023 than was expected. Although Powell said that future rate hikes will come in smaller increases, it was the outlook of a higher end rate that caused mortgage rates to worsen last week.

𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
This week we will get the October CPI consumer inflation data, which could pressure mortgage rates to move higher. Expectations are that inflation will show some signs of decreasing, but unless this report shows inflation has moved significantly lower, it will be perceived to support the higher Fed rate hiking and is not good for mortgage rates. Only a surprisingly big drop in inflation would support rates improving this week, which is risky to hope for.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: There is not a lot of data this week, but the CPI inflation data on Thursday is a big report and could cause a shake up in rates. Strong inflation data will hurt mortgage rates.
- Veterans Day: Markets will be closed Friday, as will be many lenders. Lenders tend to set rates more conservatively over long holiday weekends as well.

10/31/2022

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗢𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟯𝟭, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟮

𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽 𝗼𝗳 𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 👍
Mortgage rates improved for the first time in weeks last week, mainly due to market speculation that the Fed would "pivot" - meaning the Fed would ease back on the next few rate hikes and hike in smaller increments, and ultimately stop with rates lower than was previously expected. Mortgage rates react early to expected Fed moves, so this helped mortgage rates to improve for the week.

𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗲 ⚠️
The Fed meets this week and will make their policy statement on Wednesday at 2pm ET, with a press conference from Fed Chair Jerome Powell to follow at 2:30pm ET. It is expected the Fed will raise policy rates by .75% at this meeting, but all focus will be on any signals of the next moves at the December and February meetings. If expectations are that the Fed will slow down on rate hikes, that could be good for rates. If not, we could see rates suffer.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: We will get jobs data on Friday, which could cause more rate volatility depending on how the week plays out.
- Overseas Central Banks: The Bank of England will meet on Thursday, and we could see some early morning rate volatility depending on how markets react to their moves.

10/24/2022

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗢𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟮𝟰, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟮

𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽 𝗼𝗳 𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Mortgage rates moved higher last week, although not by much, as markets continued to prepare for the Fed to raise policy rates at the next few meetings heading into 2023.

𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗲 ⚠️
Mortgage rates could make sudden, big moves this week as data comes out on consumer spending and inflation. Traders will be looking for signs on what the Fed will do after next week's meeting, since a .75% fed funds rate hike is already expected. Next week will also be volatile because of the scheduled Fed meeting and press conference, making it a good time to discuss your unique situation with your mortgage professional and deciding if locking a rate would be a good option for you if available.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: This week has quite a bit of data, as well as a few Treasury auctions. Tuesday's consumer confidence data and Thursday's durable goods orders could play a roll in rates for the week, but Friday's PCE inflation report will have the most impact on rates.
- Overseas Central Banks: The European Central Bank meeting is on Thursday and the Bank of Japan's meeting is on Friday. Their moves to curb overseas inflation could affect rates here this week.

10/17/2022

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗢𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟳, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟮

𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽 𝗼𝗳 𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Average mortgage rates once again started the week off better before ending the week just slightly higher. Rates at least showed signs of stabilizing last week despite inflation data showing no signs of improvement yet.

𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝗲𝗹𝗲𝘃𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗱 👎
Mortgage rates are not likely to make any significant improvements this week, but could at least hold steady rather than moving higher as we've grown used to seeing each week. Expectations that the Fed will raise policy rates .75% at both the November and December meetings, and .5% at the February meeting make it unlikely rates will fall much from here.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: This week has a few housing reports, including housing starts and existing home sales, which will likely show the housing market has slowed down. However, these reports shouldn't affect rates much this week.
- Overseas markets: Rates have been helped to start the week by new UK finance minister Jeremy Hunt scrapping an economic plan by his predecessor that previously caused global bond markets to falter and pushed U.S. mortgage rates higher a couple of weeks ago. Markets have reacted positively to his moves to reverse course.

10/14/2022

⚠️ Y𝗲𝘀, 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗮 𝗹𝗼𝘁 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝘄𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗮 𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗮𝗴𝗼.

But here are a few reasons why now is still a good time to buy a home...

✅ Less competition. That means less bidding wars, and less broken hearts. You have a much better chance of landing the home you want right now.

✅ Prices are stabilizing. We are not seeing the ridiculous over-asking-price offers we did a year ago, but we also aren't seeing home prices drop (generally). If you want to talk more about home prices and if we think they will go down more, reach out to me. I can also connect you to some of the best real estate agents in the area who can help answer this.

✅ You may be able to refinance when rates go down. That means you get your home now at a great price, and lower your payment or rate later. Most economists out there think lower mortgage rates will come back later in 2023.

✅ There are ways to lower your rate now. This one requires a conversation if you want to learn more about your unique situation and what we can do for you.

𝗡𝗼 𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗴𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝘂𝗽 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗺𝘂𝗰𝗵 - 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝗶𝘁 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱𝗻'𝘁 𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗽 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗯𝘂𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮 𝗵𝗼𝗺𝗲. 𝗜𝗻 𝗳𝗮𝗰𝘁, 𝗶𝘁 𝗺𝗮𝘆 𝗯𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗼𝗻 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲 𝗯𝘂𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗡𝗢𝗪, 𝗮𝘀 𝗺𝘂𝗰𝗵 𝗮𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗳𝗲𝗲𝗹𝘀 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲 𝗶𝘁 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗻𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝗯𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝗮𝘀𝗲.

Reach out and let's talk about it more!

10/10/2022

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗢𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟬, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟮

𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽 𝗼𝗳 𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗴 👎
Average mortgage rates ended the week higher, despite starting the week off improving slightly. Fed speakers last week reinforced the message that the Fed would continue to raise rates and hold them higher through 2023, and Friday's jobs data showed a strong labor market that is contributing to a resilient economy, all contributing to higher mortgage rates.

𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Mortgage rates are likely to move higher this week, reacting to consumer and wholesale inflation data coming out midweek, as well as being pushed higher by moves in the bond market. Mortgage rates are heavily influenced by the pricing of mortgage backed securities, which are likely to continue to lose ground this week pushing rates higher. We aren't likely to see rates move lower unless we get a surprisingly weak inflation reading this week, and even then it would be a long shot.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: This week boasts a full economic calendar, and reports that show the economy is not weakening will likely contribute to higher rates.
- The Fed: Minutes from last month's meeting will be released Wednesday, and depending on a reaction could affect mortgage rates this week.

10/03/2022

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗢𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟯, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟮

𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽 𝗼𝗳 𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝘀𝗲 👎
Average mortgage rates moved higher last week, continuing a long trend of rising rates. Rates were volatile through the week as well, moving higher and lower day-to-day as markets reacted to events in England that spilled over into our markets and influenced mortgage rates.

𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲 👍
Mortgage rates starting the week off with some improvement, and we could finally be in a spot to see rates improve for the first time in weeks. However, as with recent weeks, we do have a lot of economic data that could actually cause rates to move higher if it points to higher inflation and larger Fed rate hikes, so it is a good week to stay in close contact with your mortgage professional.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: A busy week for data with a few different reports. Friday's jobs data is the most likely to affect rates though. If jobs data comes in strong, rates will not like that news, because strong employment supports a bigger Fed rate hike in November.
- Fed speakers: Lots of Fed officials speaking this week, which can sometimes move rates around.
- Global economy: Early improvements this week were a reaction to England's announcement to reduce planned tax cuts.

09/26/2022

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗦𝗲𝗽𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟮𝟲, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟮

𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽 𝗼𝗳 𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗴𝗼𝘁 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝘀𝗲 👎
Average mortgage rates continued to move higher last week on growing fears that inflation is not slowing down enough and the Fed is going to hike policy rates more aggressively through the end of the year and into 2023.

𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝘀𝗲𝗻 👎
Mortgage rates are likely to continue higher this week as markets reset. Traders are sitting on cash, trying to survive the Fed induced storm that is battering stocks and bonds. Rising yields and falling bond prices contribute to higher mortgage rates. Many borrowers are seeing situations where they must pay points to even get a mortgage, and this is because of secondary market conditions and not generally within the control of the mortgage lender right now.

🗓️ 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁'𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- The Fed: It is now expected the Fed will hike rates higher and hold them there longer.
- Economic data: Tuesday's consumer confidence reading and Friday's PCE inflation report are most likely to affect rates this week.
- Global economy: Fiscal stimulus and tax cuts in Europe have fueled fears of even more inflation overseas, requiring central banks to raise rates more aggressively. The reaction overseas also affects mortgage rates here at home.

The McArthur Edge Mortgage Team

11/14/2022

11/07/2022

10/31/2022

10/24/2022

10/17/2022

10/14/2022

10/10/2022

10/03/2022

09/26/2022

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