08/07/2026
Oil’s retreat is giving mortgage rates a brief respite.
After weeks of geopolitical pressure pushing rates higher, easing concerns over oil supplies (diplomatic progress with Iran + more OPEC+ production) have sent crude prices lower. WTI near $80, Brent around $84 — one of the sharper one-day drops in months.
Lower energy prices help cool inflation expectations, which tends to support lower Treasury yields and, in turn, mortgage rates. We saw a modest improvement this week after rates hit their highest levels in nearly two years.
Whether this is the start of a sustained move lower or just a temporary pause will depend heavily on Friday’s jobs report. Soft data could keep the momentum going; strong data could reverse it.
I’ll be on vacation next week… and if history holds, rates have a habit of easing when I’m out of town. Fingers crossed.
https://videos.crosscountrymortgage.com/watch/iz5vUQP9xFiMUZXJLAydLZ
Read the full take: https://crosscountrymortgage.com/mortgage/resources/oils-retreat-gives-mortgage-rates-a-brief-respite/
Watching the market or ready to move? Let’s talk.
— DC Aiken
Senior VP of Lending, CrossCountry Mortgage | NMLS 658790
Oil prices have recently declined, providing some relief to mortgage rates amid easing Middle East tensions and increased oil production. This shift has helped reduce inflation concerns, allowing rates to improve after several weeks of increases. Attention now turns to Friday's jobs report, as a wea...