10/21/2026
The Fed just raised rates. Here is what it actually means for your mortgage and what most people get wrong.
Quick clarification worth understanding: the Fed does not set mortgage rates. The Fed controls the federal funds rate which is the short-term rate banks charge each other overnight. That rate affects credit cards, car loans, and HELOCs almost immediately.
Your 30-year mortgage rate is a completely different animal. It follows mortgage-backed securities and the 10-year Treasury which move based on inflation expectations, the job market, and where investors think the economy is headed.
So when the Fed hikes, mortgage rates do not automatically go up by the same amount. Sometimes they barely move. Sometimes they have already moved before the announcement because the market saw it coming and priced it in weeks earlier.
Here is what to focus on instead of the headline: your payment strategy. Seller concessions, a temporary rate buydown, the right loan program for your specific timeline. Those are the things that actually change your monthly number and they are all still on the table right now.
If you want to see what a purchase actually looks like for you in this rate environment send me a message and I will run the numbers. No pressure, just clarity.