05/19/2025
๐ก ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐ญ๐ต, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฑ
๐๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐น๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐๐น๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ฒ ๐
Mortgage rates actually crept to the highest levels midweek despite better than expected data showing inflation continues to cool. Rates rallied a bit to end the week, improving from the worst levels, but still ended the week slightly worse.
๐ง๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐น๐ฑ ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐
Rates moved higher throughout last Friday, and with a light week for economic data, we could see them continue to drift up. Markets have lowered expectations to just two Fed rate cuts this year and are feeling more upbeat about the economy thanks to new trade deal announcements. That optimism makes it unlikely mortgage rates will drop much, if at all, from here.
๐ ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐'๐ ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ:
- Fed speakers: There are a plethora of Fed officials that will be out speaking this week. Although they are unlikely to say much that will rattle markets and affect mortgage rates, it is possible markets will look to them for direction.
- Memorial Day: Markets will close early on Friday at 2pm ET and will be closed Monday. Most lenders will tend to price more conservatively on a holiday weekend, meaning rates may be slightly worse than they normally would be based on market conditions.