06/23/2025
The Fed Signals Rate Cuts! Bowman Opens Door to July Cut for the First Time, Mortgage Rates May Be at a Turning Point
1. Rare Shift from a Hawkish Official:
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman, previously seen as one of the most hawkish members, has for the first time openly supported a rate cut in July if inflation continues to improve. This marks a significant policy shift within the Fed.
2. Bond Market Reacts Quickly:
The market responded swiftly. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped to 4.32%, hitting a near three-month low. Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) prices rose accordingly, as the market began to price in expectations of a rate cut.
3. Mortgage Rates Expected to Drop:
Industry analysts predict that if a July rate cut occurs as expected, the current 6.8% rate on 30-year fixed mortgages could fall by 25–50 basis points, significantly reducing monthly payments for homebuyers.