WestPac Wealth-Financial Advisor: Aleksandar Raskovic

05/23/2023

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09/26/2022

The Fed was in focus this week with the stock market recoiling and interest rates moving higher as investors digested the prospects of more aggressive rate hikes ahead as part of the Fed's mission to bring down elevated inflation. While renewed market volatility has been challenging, our latest Weekly Market Wrap highlights the latest developments and reasons investors can be optimistic about what comes next.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

09/19/2022

Inflation remains the kryptonite for the markets as the hotter-than-expected August CPI triggered the biggest daily decline in the S&P 500 in over two years. The broad price pressures challenge the Fed to keep going and suggest that the road to the 2% target will likely be long. But there are glimmers of hope that the underlying inflation trend will likely be down in the months ahead.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

09/12/2022

Markets are often unpredictable and there have been plenty of surprises in 2022. In this week’s Market Wrap, we take a look at expectations versus reality, evaluating the trends that have played out this year and what they might signal about the path ahead.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

09/05/2022

This past week, we saw equity markets fall, bond yields rise, and commodities sell-off as concerns around global demand heightened once more. Markets are now forecasting a 75 basis-point (0.75%) rate hike at the September FOMC meeting and a terminal fed funds rate of close to 4.0%, with any rate cut expectations removed from mid-2023 forecasts. However, while the near-term may be volatile, we see a case for markets to stabilize heading into year-end, driven by two key factors: midterm elections and a potential Fed pause by year-end.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

08/29/2022

Stocks have made a less-than-pleasant round trip this summer. Major indexes entered a bear market in June, rebounded sharply in July, and are on track to finish flat in August, returning to where they were three months ago. Because some of the worst-case-scenario risks have recently diminished, we think the direction of travel since the midsummer lows is justified. But strong headwinds to growth will remain, which is why we continue to expect a more bumpy and prolonged market recovery to the prior highs. With the Fed's Jackson Hole meeting marking the last major market event before the summer ends, we take a look at what's changed, what hasn't, and what the evolving conditions may mean for the road ahead.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

08/22/2022

High inflation and rising interest rates have prompted recession worries, yet a healthy labor market and recent declines in prices at the pump have helped ease fears and lift the stock market recently. This week we take a look at the state of the consumer and the outlook for household spending, which will play a key role in the path ahead for the economy and markets.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

08/15/2022

Last week we saw both CPI and PPI inflation move lower. However, inflation remains elevated compared to almost any period in history, and we would expect the Federal Reserve to continue to push rates higher in this backdrop. Nonetheless, investors cheered this first step in the right direction, and if inflation continues to moderate consistently, markets could be poised for a more sustained rally towards the back half of this year or early 2023.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

08/06/2022

Equity markets have staged an impressive rally since the mid-June lows aided by weaker commodity prices, easing inflation expectations, and lower bond yields. With last week's impressive job gains suggesting that the Fed has to stay aggressive in its fight against inflation, further gains might be more difficult to achieve, and markets could be entering a choppy phase in the months ahead. Yet, the worst of the valuation declines might be behind us. We see three potential future paths for the U.S. economy and financial markets and offer our take on the blockbuster July jobs report.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.