07/31/2025
Good info here!
A lot of data dropped yesterday. GDP came in stronger than expected at 3% for quarter 2. It was expected to be about 2% after the flood of imports in quarter 1 but 3% was a big beat. Then the federal reserve held the funds rate at 4.5%, this was expected but the surprise is that two of the fed governors were not in agreement and wanted to cut. The thinking behind the decision is that the economy is growing and they want to keep fighting inflation.
Now the Trump administration is wanting cuts, and big ones at that. First thing to note is that cutting the funds rate won’t bring down mortgage rates, a stronger dollar will. What Trump is concerned about is having to refinance trillions in debt from rates under 1% to 3-4%, which will cost billions extra in interest. So either more spending cuts will have to be made or more debt will be taken out. So to finance the debt they’ll have to take out more debt thereby making the dollar worth less, inflation stays high and so do rates.
Until then let’s buy the home, build some equity, and if rates drop we’ll be in a stronger financial position than before.