08/10/2026
π¨ Mortgage Market Update π¨
This week is all about housing, inflation signals, Fed minutes, and growth data π
Hereβs what happened last week + what weβre watching now:
π Jobs data showed weakness
July hiring came in much softer than expected, with the economy losing 23,000 jobs vs. forecasts for an 80,000 gain.
π» Prior months were revised lower
May and June payrolls were revised down by a combined 103,000 jobs, adding to signs that the labor market is cooling.
πΌ ADP hiring slowed too
Private employers added just 44,000 jobs in July, below expectations, with hiring concentrated in fewer sectors.
π Job openings also cooled
Openings fell to 7.36 million, while continuing claims stayed elevated near 1.8 million, showing itβs still taking longer for many job seekers to find work.
π What to Watch This Week:
β’ Monday: NY Fed Manufacturing + NAHB Housing Market Index
β’ Tuesday: Building Permits, Housing Starts, Pending Home Sales + Industrial Production
β’ Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
β’ Thursday: Jobless Claims, Philly Fed + Leading Index
β’ Friday: S&P Global PMI reports
π― My Take:
This week shifts from labor data to housing, growth, and Fed signals. If growth and labor data continue to soften, mortgage bonds could improve and help ease pressure on rates.
But this is still a market that can move fast.
If youβre buying, refinancing, or trying to decide whether to lock or float, strategy matters more than ever.
π² DM us βMARKETβ and Iβll help you understand what this means for your specific situation.