John Lambrecht, Mortgage Broker NMLS #2012198

John Lambrecht, Mortgage Broker NMLS #2012198 Providing opportunities for low rates, hassle free mortgages for buying or refinancing a home. www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฎ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿ‘ŽMortgage rates are heavily influe...
01/22/2024

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฎ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ

๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿ‘Ž
Mortgage rates are heavily influenced right now by speculation of when and how much the Fed will cut its policy rate this year. Last week mortgage rates moved higher as markets started to give up on the idea that the Fed will have to start cutting its rate in March to head off a recession.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿ‘Ž
Although starting the week off a little bit better than Friday, mortgage rates could move higher this week if we continue to see markets give up on a March Fed rate cut. The likely best case scenario is that rates hold steady, because it is unlikely they will improve much from here this week.

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ:
- Economic data: Thursday brings the preliminary 4th qtr GDP, along with unemployment claims. Friday we get the PCE inflation data, the Fed's favored inflation gauge, which could influence rates to end the week.
- Fed rate cuts: Markets have been pricing in a Fed rate cut in March the last few weeks, which helped mortgage rates fall from October highs. However, markets are finally listening to Fed members who say a March cut is unlikely, causing rates to creep up, but there is room for rates to move higher yet.

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฑ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿ‘Mortgage rates improved a littl...
01/15/2024

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฑ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ

๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿ‘
Mortgage rates improved a little bit last week, even though the consumer inflation numbers came in slightly higher than expected. Wholesale inflation was down, but doesn't have as much influence on mortgage rates.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜† ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿ‘
Mortgage rates could see some more improvement this week if markets continue to bet on Fed rate cuts to start at the March meeting. Despite labor market and economic data that points to the Fed keeping policy rates at current levels, markets believe the Fed will have to start cutting much sooner than it expects if it wants to avoid a recession. Rates are unlikely to move higher unless that belief falters.

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ:
- Economic data: A holiday shortened week brings Wednesday's retail sales data and the Fed's Beige Book on the economy. Not much other data to worry about this week.
- The Fed: Mortgage rates continue to reflect the belief that the Fed will need to cut rates six times in 2024, although Fed officials have been saying it will be less. If markets start to waiver in the belief that the Fed will cut rates dramatically this year to avoid a recession, we could see mortgage rates creep higher.

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐Ÿด, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿ‘ŽMortgage rates lost a little bi...
01/08/2024

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐Ÿด, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ

๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿ‘Ž
Mortgage rates lost a little bit of ground last week as markets started to doubt the Fed will cut its policy rate at the March Fed meeting. Friday's jobs data also pressured rates a bit higher, showing the labor market remains resilient and making it less urgent for the Fed to cut rates to stimulate the economy.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฎ โš ๏ธ
Mortgage rates are not likely to move much higher or lower from where they start the week if inflation data comes in as expected. However, a report that shows inflation is dropping faster or slower than expected could cause rates to move up or down a bit depending on the news.

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ:
- Economic data: Consumer and wholesale inflation reports come out near the end of the week, and will help set the direction of mortgage rates for the next couple of weeks.
- The Fed: Mortgage rates continue to reflect the belief that the Fed will need to cut rates six times in 2024, although Fed officials have been saying it will be less. If markets start to waiver in the belief that the Fed will cut rates dramatically this year to avoid a recession, we could see mortgage rates creep higher.

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐Ÿญ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ‘Mortgage rates were basically unchang...
01/02/2024

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐Ÿญ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ

๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ‘
Mortgage rates were basically unchanged last week as 2023 came to an end.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฝ ๐Ÿ‘
Mortgage rates will need help from labor market data to improve this week. Signs of a softening labor market in this week's data would support expectations of future Fed rate cuts, which would help mortgage rates to improve at least a little bit. However, if we instead see signs of labor market strength from the data this week it could cause rates to creep slightly higher, especially on Friday.

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ:
- Economic data: This week brings multiple reports about the labor market, starting on Wednesday with the Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey. Thursday brings the ADP payroll report and unemployment claims, with Friday's new job creation and unemployment numbers being most likely to affect mortgage rates.
- The Fed: Mortgage rates continue to reflect the belief that the Fed will need to cut rates six times in 2024, although Fed officials have been saying it will be less. If markets start to waiver in the belief that the Fed will cut rates dramatically this year to avoid a recession, we could see mortgage rates creep higher.

๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ‘Mortgage rates were basically unchang...
12/26/2023

๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฒ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ

๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ‘
Mortgage rates were basically unchanged last week, as mortgage rates continued to reflect markets' belief that not only is the Fed done hiking rates, but will start cutting rates in March. Friday's PCE inflation report came in even lower than expected, supporting the idea that the Fed will be able to reduce rates as inflation cools.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ‘
Traders generally take off the last couple of weeks of the year around the holidays, and mortgage rates tend to hold steady during that time. There is little risk of seeing rates move higher from here this week, although it is also unlikely we see any kind of significant improvement.

๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ:
- Economic data: There is no important economic data this week, and nothing that should pressure rates to move from here. Markets were closed on Monday for Christmas, and will be closed early Friday and closed on day on Monday for New Years.
- The Fed: Mortgage rates will hold these lower levels for as long as markets believe rate cuts will start as soon as March. If that belief reverses we could see rates creep higher, but that is not going to happen this week.

๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿด, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ‘Mortgage rates fell to the lowest leve...
12/18/2023

๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿด, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ

๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ‘
Mortgage rates fell to the lowest levels in months last week, because the Fed signaled it is likely done raising rates and will probably cut rates in 2024. Although the Fed doesn't set mortgage rates, Fed rate cuts will contribute to lower rates across the board, including mortgage rates.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜† ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿ‘Ž
When rates move significantly lower like we saw last week, we often see some give back in the following days. Also, the current lower mortgage rates reflect a belief that the Fed will cut rates six times next year, starting as soon as March. Fed officials are trying to convince markets that cuts are not likely to begin that soon and that the Fed is forecasting it will only cut rates three times next year.

๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ:
- Economic data: Mortgage rates may be influenced this week by the final 3rd qtr GDP reading on Thursday, as well as the PCE inflation data on Friday. Stronger economic data may pressure rates slightly higher.
- Holidays: Traders tend to take the end of year off, resulting in less trading volume that contributes to market volatility that can cause day-to-day and intraday swings in mortgage rates. Markets will be closed for Christmas.

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿญ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ‘Mortgage rates varied a bit day-to-...
12/11/2023

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿญ๐Ÿญ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ

๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ‘
Mortgage rates varied a bit day-to-day last week, but ultimately ended the week basically unchanged. The labor market data showed some softening with less job openings than forecast, but also showed strength with more new jobs created than expected and unemployment falling.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐˜ƒ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฒ โš ๏ธ
This week brings new inflation data and the Fed meeting, the combination of which will set the tone for mortgage rates through the rest of the year. This week is a good week to stay in close contact with your mortgage professional.

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ:
- Inflation data: Consumer inflation comes out Tuesday morning, with wholesale inflation released on Wednesday. If inflation improves more than expected it would help mortgage rates fall further, but the opposite is true if we see inflation data that fails to impress markets.
- The Fed: The Fed meets this week, and is unlikely to raise its policy rate. However, markets will be looking for updates to the Fed's rate forecast and looking for signs that the Fed is open to cutting rates sooner in 2024. Fed Chair Powell's press conference Wednesday afternoon will likely cause volatility in mortgage rates.

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฐ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ‘Mortgage rates continued to slowly im...
12/04/2023

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฐ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ

๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐Ÿ‘
Mortgage rates continued to slowly improve from October's highest rates seen in decades, reacting to markets' now speculating that the Fed may begin cutting policy rates as soon as March after previous expectations of cuts starting in June.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐Ÿ‘
Although rate improvements will lose steam eventually, the next couple of weeks could see rates move even a bit lower from here. This week we get a lot of labor market data, which could improve mortgage rates if traders find any weakness in the jobs data. Next week we get inflation data and the Fed meeting.

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ:
- Economic data: Every day after Monday brings some kind of labor market report. Tuesday is the Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey, Wednesday is ADP private payrolls, Thursday is unemployment claims, and Friday brings the biggest report with new job creations, wage increases, and unemployment numbers.
- The Fed: It was Fed members' comments last week that helped push mortgage rates lower, but Fed members are now on a media blackout until the Fed meeting next week. As markets increase the belief that the Fed will cut rates sooner in 2024, rates will improve.

โ—๐Ÿก ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—น๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—™๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜† ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฝ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚ ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜† ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ!๐Ÿ˜€Today's news means you ...
11/28/2023

โ—๐Ÿก ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—น๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—™๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—™๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฒ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐˜† ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฝ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚ ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜† ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ!

๐Ÿ˜€Today's news means you may be able to qualify for ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฎ ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ, because a "conforming" loan often has a better rate than a "jumbo" loan that you would normally need for higher mortgage amounts.

The conforming loan amount is going from $726,200 to $766,550 in 2024. Some areas of the country qualify for even higher limits, sometimes as high as $1,149,825!

๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐—œ๐—ณ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚'๐—ฑ ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ธ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ธ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜€ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚, ๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ธ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—œ'๐—น๐—น ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ ๐—ด๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ด๐—ผ ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐˜„๐—ถ๐˜๐—ต ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚.

๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ, ๐—ถ๐—ณ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚'๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐˜†๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฎ ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด, ๐—œ'๐—บ ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฝ.

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿณ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐˜† ๐Ÿ‘As was expected, rates were bas...
11/27/2023

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿณ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ

๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐˜† ๐Ÿ‘
As was expected, rates were basically unchanged last week when markets slowed down over the Thanksgiving holiday. After reaching the highest rates in decades in October, rates have fallen in November on expectations that the Fed is done raising rates.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐Ÿ‘
This week it is likely to see rates once again remain relatively unchanged or improve slightly, depending on how some of the economic data comes in for the week including the Fed's favorite inflation gauge. However, it is next week's labor market data and the following week's inflation data and Fed meeting that hold the most potential for rates to improve through the middle of December.

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ:
- Economic data: This week includes consumer confidence data, a revision of the 3rd quarter GDP, and the PCE inflation report along with lots of housing data. Signs of a slowing economy could help rates hold steady, while signs of economic strength could pressure rates to creep slightly higher.
- The Fed: Markets believe the Fed is done raising rates, and are looking for signs of when the Fed will begin to actually cut rates in 2024.

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿ‘Better than expected consumer and...
11/20/2023

๐Ÿก ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ, ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ

๐—Ÿ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿ‘
Better than expected consumer and wholesale inflation data as well as a drop in retail sales for the first time in seven months helped mortgage rates improve for the week. Rates now reflecting a belief that the Fed is done hiking rates, and will begin cuts sometime in early 2024 as the economy slows down and the labor market softens.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ช๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ'๐˜€ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—ด๐—ฒ ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—™๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜: ๐—ฅ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—น๐˜† ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ต๐—ผ๐—น๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐˜† ๐Ÿ‘
This holiday shortened week is likely to see mortgage rates remain relatively unchanged, although we may see some movement from day-to-day. Markets and lenders will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving, and markets will close early on Friday. If we do see rates move this week it will be more due to the holiday and low trading volume in markets than a shift in the outlook, and we should see a return to normal next week.

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜'๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ:
- Economic data: There are only a couple of small reports this week that are unlikely to cause too much of a stir for mortgage rates.
- Thanksgiving: This is usually a quiet week around the holiday, as most traders take off after Wednesday morning's data for a long weekend.

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