05/26/2026
The buyers who waited didn't lose the rate. They lost the house.
Three months ago, mortgage rates were in the 5s. Today they're at a nine-month high.
A lot of buyers spent that window waiting — trying to time the bottom, holding out for something better. Some are no longer shopping in the same price range they started in.
That's the part most people miss about "waiting for a better rate." The risk isn't just the rate. It's the buying power.
When you wait and rates rise, two things can happen:
You buy anyway and absorb the higher payment. Annoying, but survivable.
The higher payment pushes your target home above your approved budget — and now you're shopping a tier lower.
The house you were looking at isn't out of reach because the price changed. It's because the cost of the money changed.
Here's the trap: the downside isn't symmetrical.
Wait and rates drop — you save a little.
Wait and rates rise — you can lose the house entirely.
Small upside. Large downside. That's a bad bet.
This doesn't mean panic and lock at any cost. It means floating should be a deliberate decision, made with eyes open — not a default born from hoping the market cooperates.
The buyers who do best aren't the ones who time it perfectly. They're the ones who buy the right home when they're financially ready, and refinance later if the market gives them a gift.
You can always change your rate later. You can't always go back and buy the house.