Jill McCain: Mortgage Loan Officer - NMLS #667195, 4465 Granite Drive Suite 1038, Rocklin, CA (2026)

12/01/2025

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗗𝗲𝗰𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟭, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 👍
Mortgage rates continued to improve last week ahead of the holiday, and although rates only moved slightly lower they were near the best levels seen since October.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝘄𝗼𝗿𝘀𝗲𝗻 👎
Rates may creep back up a bit this week, or at best will likely stay near current levels. It's tough to imagine mortgage rates can move much lower in the next couple of weeks, especially understanding that mortgage rates already reflect expectations that the Fed will cut policy rates one more time at its December meeting.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: This week should have been a week filled with important labor market data ahead of next week's Fed meeting, but due to the government shutdown most of the reports have been delayed until later this month. However, there is still some data this week that could influence mortgage rates depending on how strong it shows the labor market and economy to be.
- The Fed: Markets are currently betting on a Fed policy rate cut at its next meeting, which is why mortgage rates have moved lower from earlier in November. If anything were to cause doubt about a coming cut, it could pressure mortgage rates slightly higher once again.

11/24/2025

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗡𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟮𝟰, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 👍
It wasn’t much, but mortgage rates did improve slightly last week as markets grew more confident in a December Fed rate cut after NY Fed President Williams, an influential Fed member, hinted that a “further adjustment in the near term” was likely.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲 👍
With the shift last week toward expectations the Fed could cut its rate in December, it opens the door for rates to improve a bit further this holiday shortened week. That said, don't look for rates to move much lower, the gains will more likely be in rebate pricing provided by lenders to help offset closing costs. Expect rates themselves to stay relatively unchanged, at least until the Fed's December meeting.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Thanksgiving: Bond markets, which set the stage for mortgage rates, will be closed on Thursday and will close at 2pm ET on Friday. Traders often take off early Wednesday and don't return until Monday, and there is usually no movement in mortgage rates during this period.
- Economic data: There are a few reports this week that will come out Wednesday that could have a small influence on mortgage rates ahead of the holiday break.

11/17/2025

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗡𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟳, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗽𝘁 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Although mortgage rates worsened slightly, the changes were minimal. Quoted rates stayed mostly the same, but rebate pricing, the cost to buy down a rate or the credit toward closing costs, was a bit worse as markets waited for new data now that the shutdown has ended.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗽 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Markets will finally get some of the delayed data this week, although it will be older information. The White House has said that more recent economic data from October may “likely never” be released since little was collected during the shutdown. This means mortgage rates aren’t likely to make any big moves, but we could still see day-to-day volatility as markets try to gauge where the economy and labor market are heading into 2026.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Old data: The September BLS labor data will be released Thursday, and while it’s outdated, markets will still respond. This report is normally a major mover, but given its age, the reaction will likely be more muted.
- The Fed: Fed members are indicating they don’t support a December rate cut, and that stance has recently nudged mortgage rates a bit higher.

11/10/2025

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗡𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟬, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗽𝘁 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Mortgage rates were barely higher to end the week, as markets continued to hold steady waiting for more data to come when the government shutdown is over. This is actually better than we've seen in weeks following previous Fed meetings that included a policy rate cut though.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗽 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Mortgage rates have a good chance of creeping slightly higher again this week if a budget is passed and the shutdown is lifted, although the moves won't be too significant. Rates aren’t in danger of moving much higher right now, but that could change later this month depending on when we start to see economic data again and what the data shows markets.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Government shutdown: A budget deal is expected to get passed this week, which would end the shutdown. Preliminary reactions in markets have not been good for mortgage rates so far, as the news of progress played a role in slightly higher rates to start the week.
- Economic data: Even if the shutdown ends this week, it is still too late for the consumer and wholesale inflation data that would have been collected and released this week.

11/03/2025

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗡𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟯, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Why did rates jump last week after the Fed cut its policy rate by a quarter point? Because the rate cut was expected and already priced into mortgage rates. What wasn't expected was Fed Chair Powell's comments in his press conference that a December cut, also already priced into mortgage rates, "is not a foregone conclusion - far from it." That led markets to doubt a December cut, which was immediately reflected in mortgage rates.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Mortgage rates this week could continue to move higher, as happened in September after the Fed meeting when the Fed also cut its policy rate, especially since this week's labor market data is likely to be delayed due to the continued government shutdown.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Government shutdown: This week would have been a big week of labor market data that will be delayed for the second month in a row.
- Fed speakers: Markets will be listening to Fed members for clues on if a December Fed rate cut is more likely than currently being speculated. If markets increase expectations of a cut, it could help mortgage rates hold steady, but isn't likely to see them improve much from here.

10/27/2025

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗢𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟮𝟳, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 👍
Rates ended the week slightly better, helped by Friday’s consumer price index (CPI) report showing September inflation came in cooler than expected. Other than that single report, there was little data to influence mortgage rates for the week as the government shutdown continues.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗲 ⚠️
Mortgage rates appeared to cap out last week, but this week’s Fed meeting could offer another chance for them to move slightly lower. However, mortgage rates already reflect traders' expectations of two more cuts this year, and it isn't likely that mortgage rates have much room to improve.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Government shutdown: It’s been nearly a month since markets have had economic and labor market data to guide decisions. If the shutdown continues as expected, this week’s GDP and PCE inflation reports will be missed.
- The Fed: The Fed meets this week and is expected to make a second rate cut this year, with one more likely in December. This cut is already priced into mortgage rates and won’t move them lower. However, Fed Chair Powell’s press conference could provide clues about 2026 policy direction that might help rates improve.

10/20/2025

🏡 For the Week of October 20, 2025

Last Week's Mortgage Rate Recap: Rates improved 👍
With the government shutdown still in place, there wasn’t much data to give markets direction. Even so, mortgage rates moved slightly lower, returning to levels seen before last month’s Fed meeting pushed them higher.

This Week's Mortgage Rate Forecast: Rates likely to hold steady or improve 👍
It’s still unlikely mortgage rates will fall significantly, but some improvement is possible this week despite Friday’s upcoming inflation data. If rates don’t move lower, they’ll likely hold near current levels with little risk of moving much higher.

📈 What’s affecting rates this week:
- Government shutdown: Labor market data that normally influences mortgage rates continues to be delayed, including weekly jobless claims. A budget compromise this week seems unlikely, but if one happens, markets could react quickly and add some rate volatility.
- Inflation data: The CPI consumer inflation data, postponed last week because of the shutdown, is now set for release Friday. It’s considered critical since it determines 2026 Social Security cost-of-living adjustments. If there is a big jump in inflation, that could cause mortgage rates to move higher to end the week.

10/13/2025

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗢𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟯, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝘂𝗻𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗱 👍
Mortgage rates had some small day-to-day movements in rebate pricing (the credit a lender gives toward closing costs or the points you pay to get a lower rate), but rates themselves didn’t move much, with little economic or labor market data to influence them.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗵𝗼𝗹𝗱 𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗮𝗱𝘆 👍
A second week with no end to the shutdown expected, mortgage rates are unlikely to make any big moves. There could be some volatility Tuesday after the bond market reopens, since it was closed Monday while stocks continued trading. There will be some economic data and Fed speakers this week, but nothing that should cause any major movements.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Government shutdown: Consumer inflation data that was scheduled for release this week has been postponed to Friday, October 24, but wholesale inflation data will only come out as planned if the budget impasse is resolved.
- Fed speakers:Mortgage rates currently reflect markets’ belief that the Fed will cut rates at the remaining two meetings this year. It’s unlikely that anything said by Fed members this week will change that outlook.

10/06/2025

𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗢𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟲, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 👍
The government shutdown helped mortgage rates move slightly lower last week as markets increased speculation that the Fed would need to cut rates at the last two Fed meetings of the year. Due to the shutdown of several departments, there was no Bureau of Labor Statistics data for the week, including jobless claims and last Friday's big jobs report.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲 👍
With no end to the shutdown expected this week, mortgage rates are unlikely to make any big moves. We could see them improve slightly though, as the week goes on and no resolution is reached to reopen the government.

𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Government shutdown: Until the shutdown is lifted, markets will not have access to many of the economic reports that typically drive direction for mortgage rates. This week would have been a light week for data anyway, but if a resolution isn't reached, the shutdown could also affect the release of next week's inflation data. Markets are currently betting a prolonged shutdown will hurt the economy, which is helping mortgage rates to improve a bit. Once a budget is passed, however, the delayed reports will be released and could cause volatility.

09/29/2025

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗦𝗲𝗽𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟮𝟵, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗴𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Mortgage rates stayed mostly unchanged, ending just a touch higher as inflation data came in as expected and nothing significant pushed rates meaningfully higher or lower.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗯𝗲 𝘃𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗹𝗲 ⚠️
Mortgage rates could move higher or lower this week depending on labor market data, especially Friday’s BLS jobs report. Keep in mind, though, that rates have more room to move higher than lower, particularly if markets begin to doubt there will be two more Fed cuts this year. The potential for rates to fall is limited compared with the risk they’ll rise, so tread carefully.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Labor market data: Reports include job openings, unemployment claims, private payrolls, and Friday’s BLS jobs numbers. If the data shows the labor market is stronger than recent reports suggest, it could cause markets to doubt the need for the expected Fed cuts and push rates higher to end the week.
- Government shutdown: There is a strong possibility of a government shutdown this week. Markets are not yet reacting to the concern, but if a shutdown does occur, it could add volatility to markets and mortgage rates.

09/22/2025

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗦𝗲𝗽𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟮𝟮, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝘀𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
The week started off promising, with rates improving early on. But after the Fed meeting and Chair Powell’s press conference, markets reacted negatively, and mortgage rates finished the week a bit higher. Since the Fed cut had already been priced in, rates moved up when Powell signaled the Fed wouldn’t be aggressive with future cuts.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗽 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Mortgage rates currently reflect two more Fed cuts at the remaining meetings for 2025. But if Fed members speaking this week shake confidence in those cuts, mortgage rates could drift upward.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- Economic data: There isn’t much data this week to influence mortgage rates, and what little there is comes late in the week. The Fed’s favored inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, is unlikely to surprise and isn’t expected to move mortgage rates much either way.
- Fed speakers: This week is filled with Fed members making appearances and sharing their outlook on the economy and policy. If their comments make traders doubt the expected Fed cuts, mortgage rates could creep higher.

09/15/2025

𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗦𝗲𝗽𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟱, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘂𝗻𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗱 👍
Rates were unable to improve this week, despite wholesale inflation declining and consumer inflation coming in right where markets expected. It's still a win though when rates don't move higher.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗶𝗺𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗲 👍
Mortgage rates could move lower this week, especially if markets believe the Fed is keeping the door open to further rate cuts this year. However, rates are not likely to keep falling too far, and it is important not to chase lower rates that might not come.

𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
- The Fed: Although the Fed is expected to cut its policy rate by a quarter point at this week's Fed meeting, mortgage rates already reflect this and will not move lower when the Fed does actually cut. For rates to move lower, markets will need to anticipate deeper cuts into 2026, more than the two cuts expected at the next two Fed meetings to end the year.
- Inflation data: Last week we got the Consumer Price Index, this week we will get the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report. This is the Fed's favored gauge of inflation, and if it shows tariffs aren't pushing prices significantly higher, it could help rates improve a bit to end the week.

Jill McCain: Mortgage Loan Officer - NMLS #667195

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