09/20/2024
1. PACE Market Research For the first several years I assumed PACE was transformational. In 2016 I was able to confirm it. I indexed growth data from the PACENation web page ( https://pacenation.org/ ) for the period 2009 -2016. C(ommercial) PACE and R(esidential)-PACE were recorded and indexed separately. At that time, solar was growing rapidly. Geothermal (the most important technology in terms of GHG reduction) also showed good growth.
It is obvious that R-PACE was growing very, very fast at 76.8% per year.
While C-PACE is growing slower but at 48% per year.
The answer to the original, “Is it transformational?” question is: YES IT IS! The next question is why is there such a big difference between R-PACE and C-PACE? The probable answer is the split incentive issue. Tenants pay the utilities and landlord pays for the assets required to reduce energy consumption. The second is decision making and the conservative nature of business decisions by corporations, mortgage bankers and REITS.