06/16/2022
๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ท๐๐บ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ ๐๐ข๐ง ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ... ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ถ๐น๐น ๐ถ๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ป ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ป๐ฑ?
The short answer is that last Friday's inflation data sent markets spiraling, because inflation still shows no signs of slowing down. Inflation is bad for rates, and the reaction by markets pushed mortgage rates shooting higher Friday, only to continue higher on Monday and Tuesday as markets prepared for a larger Fed policy rate hike this week.
The Fed did indeed raise rates more than originally forecast today, by .75%. It is important to realize though that this rate increase was for the Fed's policy rate, the fed funds rate. This was not a direct increase to mortgage rates, which the Fed doesn't control and which had already increased in expectations of this move by the Fed.
The good news is that when the Fed raised rates this week, mortgage rates actually IMPROVED. That is because the markets had already priced the move in, and investors are happy to see the Fed is aggressively acting to bring down inflation. Although we have seen extreme volatility in rates, we could see rates continue to improve as we end the week.
๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฎ ๐ฟ๐ผ๐น๐น๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ, ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐น๐๐ต๐ผ๐๐ด๐ต ๐ป๐ผ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ ๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐น ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐น๐น ๐'๐ฑ ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐ด๐น๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐๐ผ ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ธ ๐๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐ผ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ผ๐๐ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐บ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ ๐บ๐ผ๐๐ฒ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐ถ๐ณ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฏ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฎ ๐ต๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐๐ถ๐ฏ๐น๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐ป๐ฐ๐ถ๐ป๐ด. ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐น ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ผ๐๐ ๐ฏ๐ ๐ฝ๐ต๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ, ๐๐ฒ๐
๐, ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฎ๐ถ๐น ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ ๐บ๐ฒ.