10/12/2026
Same market. Same data. Three very different predictions.
Bonds just had their worst quarter in decades, and even the experts can't agree on what comes next. So how do you make sense of all the noise?
This week's blog breaks down the conflicting forecasts and why following the crowd isn't always the smartest move.
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September payrolls landed this week at 29,000 jobs. Unemployment rose to 4.2 percent. Weak hiring like that usually pulls interest rates down. It didn’t. The ten year Treasury yield sits near 5.3 percent after rising about 0.87 percentage points in the third quarter. According to Reuters, that w...