09/26/2024
๐ Market Update โ September 25, 2024 (Thursday)
The stock market had a good day! The Dow climbed +260.36 points to 42,175.11 โฌ๏ธ, and the S&P 500 increased +23.11 points to 5,745.37 โฌ๏ธ. Mortgage Bonds stayed pretty steady.
๐ Pending Home Sales
Sales of existing homes (pending contracts) went up 0.6% in August, better than the expected 0.3% โฌ๏ธ. However, sales are still down 3% year-over-year, which is better than last month's -8.5%.
As mortgage rates fell to 6.5%, housing affordability improved a bit. Contract signings are still low, but we expect to see improvement as rates drop further in the coming months ๐.
๐ผ Jobless Claims
First-time jobless claims fell by 4,000 to 218,000, showing that employers are holding onto workers ๐ค.
Continuing claims (people still receiving benefits) increased slightly to 1.834 million, near the highest levels since late 2021.
๐ Q2 GDP Final Reading
The US economy grew by 3% in Q2, in line with expectations, and stronger than Q1 (which was revised to 1.6%) ๐. Tomorrow, we'll get the important PCE inflation data for August.
๐ ๏ธ Durable Goods Orders
Orders for long-lasting goods were flat in August, which was better than the expected -2.6%. Core durable goods (excluding transportation) rose 0.2%, beating estimates ๐ฆ.
๐ Technical Analysis
Mortgage Bonds are hovering below the 25-day Moving Average, and the 10-year Treasury yield is moving higher ๐. Tomorrowโs PCE inflation report could shake things up!
Closing position: Eyes on tomorrowโs inflation data!