09/26/2024
π Market Update β September 25, 2024 (Thursday)
The stock market had a good day! The Dow climbed +260.36 points to 42,175.11 β¬οΈ, and the S&P 500 increased +23.11 points to 5,745.37 β¬οΈ. Mortgage Bonds stayed pretty steady.
π Pending Home Sales
Sales of existing homes (pending contracts) went up 0.6% in August, better than the expected 0.3% β¬οΈ. However, sales are still down 3% year-over-year, which is better than last month's -8.5%.
As mortgage rates fell to 6.5%, housing affordability improved a bit. Contract signings are still low, but we expect to see improvement as rates drop further in the coming months π.
πΌ Jobless Claims
First-time jobless claims fell by 4,000 to 218,000, showing that employers are holding onto workers π€.
Continuing claims (people still receiving benefits) increased slightly to 1.834 million, near the highest levels since late 2021.
π Q2 GDP Final Reading
The US economy grew by 3% in Q2, in line with expectations, and stronger than Q1 (which was revised to 1.6%) π. Tomorrow, we'll get the important PCE inflation data for August.
π οΈ Durable Goods Orders
Orders for long-lasting goods were flat in August, which was better than the expected -2.6%. Core durable goods (excluding transportation) rose 0.2%, beating estimates π¦.
π Technical Analysis
Mortgage Bonds are hovering below the 25-day Moving Average, and the 10-year Treasury yield is moving higher π. Tomorrowβs PCE inflation report could shake things up!
Closing position: Eyes on tomorrowβs inflation data!