06/01/2026
๐ก ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐๐ป๐ฒ ๐ญ, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฒ
๐๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐บ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐น๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐
Rates fell for a second straight week, although the improvement was modest as peace talks with Iran continued to drag on without a final resolution. All other factors continued to take a back seat, with mortgage rates reacting almost solely to events in the Middle East.
๐ง๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐น๐ฑ ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐น๐ฒ โ ๏ธ
Rates will continue reacting to headlines about a potential peace deal with Iran, and that news was already volatile this morning. Unconfirmed reports that Iran may walk away from negotiations and fully block the Strait of Hormuz pushed mortgage rates higher to start the week. With markets closely tracking developments in the Middle East, rates will likely remain difficult to predict this week.
๐ ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐โ๐ ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ:
โข The Middle East: Mortgage rates will continue to react to headlines about peace deal negotiations. When oil prices fall, rates tend to improve. When oil prices rise, rates tend to move higher. Expect some day-to-day volatility, and even changes during the day, as markets respond to new developments.
โข Economic data: Although this is a big week for labor market data, it is unlikely the data will have as much impact on mortgage rates as usual.
