01/28/2026
After cutting rates 75bps last year, and 100bps in 2024, the Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady this month at a range of 3.50-3.75%. According to market participants, the probability of a rate cut today is down to just 3% with a rate cut in March priced in at just 16%. Although, the market is still anticipating about two rate cuts by year-end with the first cut likely to take place mid-year.
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