12/05/2025
Market Update – December 2025
✅ Conventional 30-Year Fixed: 5.99% (6.086% APR)
Hope you all had a great Thanksgiving! Here’s what’s happening in the housing and rate world this week:
New Loan Limits! Conventional loan limit bumped up to $832,750 for 2026, giving buyers more room before hitting jumbo loans.
Inflation (PCE Report) came in exactly as expected:
• Monthly: +0.3%
• Year-over-year: 2.8%
Stable = good for rates.
Jobs Data was mixed this week:
• ADP shows 32K job losses
• Jobless claims came in lower than expected (possibly impacted by the holiday)
Overall, labor market is cooling gradually.
Finally, there is a Federal Reserve meeting next week. The markets are pricing an 85% chance of a 0.25% rate cut. But remember, much of this is already priced into mortgage rates today. If the Fed surprises and doesn’t cut, expect rates to bump up a bit.