11/22/2022
5 reasons why there will NOT be a housing crash
1. Stability: Around 90% of US homeowners own their home outright or hold a low fixed-rate mortgage.
2. High Demand: Population growth has outpaced new home construction for the last 20 years. There are 5M more millennials in their 30s today compared to 2006.
3. Supply shortage: There are 20% less homes for sale compared to last year, and 50% less compared to 2007…you read that right, 50% less compared to 2007.
4. Investors & Wallstreet: It's estimated 1 in 7 homes were purchased by Wallstreet last year and that number is rising.
5. Minimal foreclosures: the government froze foreclosures during the pandemic & over 80% of mortgages are fixed loans. Home equity is at an all-time high, so most people can simply sell and take the profit instead of defaulting.
For a crash to occur we need an influx of inventory with little demand... currently it's the opposite.
Data > Emotion