10/31/2022
๐ก ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ข๐ฐ๐๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฏ๐ญ, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฎ
๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ถ๐บ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐
Mortgage rates improved for the first time in weeks last week, mainly due to market speculation that the Fed would "pivot" - meaning the Fed would ease back on the next few rate hikes and hike in smaller increments, and ultimately stop with rates lower than was previously expected. Mortgage rates react early to expected Fed moves, so this helped mortgage rates to improve for the week.
๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐น๐ฑ ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐น๐ฒ โ ๏ธ
The Fed meets this week and will make their policy statement on Wednesday at 2pm ET, with a press conference from Fed Chair Jerome Powell to follow at 2:30pm ET. It is expected the Fed will raise policy rates by .75% at this meeting, but all focus will be on any signals of the next moves at the December and February meetings. If expectations are that the Fed will slow down on rate hikes, that could be good for rates. If not, we could see rates suffer.
๐๏ธ ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐'๐ ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ:
- Economic data: We will get jobs data on Friday, which could cause more rate volatility depending on how the week plays out.
- Overseas Central Banks: The Bank of England will meet on Thursday, and we could see some early morning rate volatility depending on how markets react to their moves.