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U.S. Stock Market Preview | December Retail Sales Fall Short of Expectations; Major Futures Steady; TSMC Gains 5% Pre-Ma...
01/16/2025

U.S. Stock Market Preview | December Retail Sales Fall Short of Expectations; Major Futures Steady; TSMC Gains 5% Pre-Market on Strong Q4

Key News
U.S. December Retail Sales Miss Expectations, Futures Show Limited Reaction

December retail sales rose 0.4% month-over-month, the weakest since August 2024, below the 0.6% forecast and prior 0.7%.
As of this writing, S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq futures reacted mildly, with Nasdaq 100 up around 0.2%.
TSMC Up Over 5% Pre-Market After Q4 Earnings Beat

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US) reported Q4 net income of NT$374.7B, a 57% YoY increase (vs. NT$369.84B expected).
Revenue reached NT$868.46B (+39% YoY), above the NT$855.34B estimate; gross margin rose to 59% (consensus 58.5%, prior 57.8%).
As of press time, shares are up more than 5% pre-market.
NVIDIA Rises Over 1% Pre-Market; Teams Up with MediaTek to Build Windows on Arm Flagship SoC

NVIDIA (NVDA.US) advanced more than 1% pre-market.
Multiple sources report that NVIDIA and MediaTek will jointly release the first Arm-based SoC optimized for Windows devices by the end of this year.
Symbotic Surges Over 26% Pre-Market, Acquires Walmart’s Advanced Systems & Robotics Unit

Symbotic (SYM.US) soared more than 26% pre-market after announcing it will acquire Walmart’s advanced systems and robotics operations.
The transaction expands the companies’ long-term partnership focusing on supply-chain automation.
Duolingo Sees Surge in Mandarin Learners, Up 216% YoY

Duolingo (DUOL.US) revealed data from December 2024 to January 13 showing a 216% YoY spike in American users studying Mandarin.
Analysts note this aligns with the rapid rise of Xiaohongshu (RED) in the global App Store charts.
Bank of America Jumps Over 2% Pre-Market; Q4 Net Interest Income Beats Expectations

Bank of America (BAC.US) said Q4 net interest income (NII) reached $14.36B (vs. $14.12B expected).
Shares rose more than 2% on the news.
Apple iPhone Q4 Shipments in China Drop 25%, Ties Huawei with 17% Market Share

Data from Canalys shows Apple (AAPL.US)’s Q4 smartphone shipments in China fell 25% YoY to 13.1M units.
Despite the drop, Apple retained a narrow lead with 17% share, closely matched by Huawei at 17% (12.9M units, +24% YoY).
Microsoft CEO Meets with Trump, Musk; Pledges $80B Toward AI Data Centers

Microsoft (MSFT.US) CEO Satya Nadella joined talks with President-elect Donald Trump and Elon Musk on AI and cybersecurity.
Microsoft later announced plans to invest $80B globally in AI data centers, over $50B of which will be allocated in the U.S., potentially creating significant local jobs.

U.S. Stock Market Preview | December Retail Sales Fall Short of Expectations; Major Futures Steady; TSMC Gains 5% Pre-Market on Strong Q4

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Notice: Sell TLNTLN now has strong resistance around 230Temporarily sell for profits, wait for right opp 2 buy againLear...
01/15/2025

Notice: Sell TLN

TLN now has strong resistance around 230

Temporarily sell for profits, wait for right opp 2 buy again

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Today's rec: NVDAAfter Nvidia dn, it's a gr8 buy opp, stck needs no extra explainBuy price:
01/15/2025

Today's rec: NVDA

After Nvidia dn, it's a gr8 buy opp, stck needs no extra explain

Buy price:

U.S. Stock Market Preview | Major Index Futures Spike as Core CPI Surprises to the Downside, Market Expects Further Fed ...
01/15/2025

U.S. Stock Market Preview | Major Index Futures Spike as Core CPI Surprises to the Downside, Market Expects Further Fed Easing; Quantum Computing Stocks Continue Rebound Pre-Market, QBTS & QUBT Up Over 16%

Key Headlines
1. U.S. Core CPI Unexpectedly Falls, Major Index Futures Soar

U.S. CPI rose 2.9% YoY in December, matching the 2.9% consensus and up from 2.7% previously.
Core CPI climbed 3.2% YoY, below the 3.3% forecast, marking the lowest rate since August 2024.
Following the data, traders raised bets on further Fed easing, now pricing in a potential rate cut by late July (previously September).
As of writing, all three major futures are up over 1% on this news.
2. Citigroup Rallies Nearly 4% Pre-Market on Q4 Revenue Beat, $20B Buyback

Citigroup (C.US) reported Q4 2024 revenue of $19.58B (vs. $19.42B expected), up from $17.44B a year ago.
The bank also announced a $20B share repurchase plan. As of press time, Citigroup shares are up nearly 4% pre-market.
3. Goldman Sachs Q4 Net Revenue at $13.87B, Topping Estimates

Goldman Sachs (GS.US) reported Q4 net revenue of $13.87B (vs. $12.37B consensus).
Net interest income came in at $2.35B (vs. $2.11B expected).
FICC sales and trading revenue reached $2.74B (vs. $2.44B consensus).
As of writing, Goldman shares are up 2% pre-market.
4. JPMorgan Q4 Revenue at $42.77B, Exceeds Expectations

JPMorgan (JPM.US) reported Q4 revenue of $42.77B (vs. $41.18B forecast), with EPS of $4.81.
Shares jumped over 3% pre-market.

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Notification: Sell TTIWe have held this stock for quite a while; it is now time to take profits.Learn more Add me on Wha...
01/14/2025

Notification: Sell TTI

We have held this stock for quite a while; it is now time to take profits.

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U.S. Stock Market Preview | All Three Major Futures Spike on Lower-Than-Expected PPI; Chinese EV Stocks Surge Pre-Market...
01/14/2025

U.S. Stock Market Preview | All Three Major Futures Spike on Lower-Than-Expected PPI; Chinese EV Stocks Surge Pre-Market, XPeng Up Over 9%

U.S. Stock Market Preview | All Three Major Futures Spike on Lower-Than-Expected PPI; Chinese EV Stocks Surge Pre-Market, XPeng Up Over 9%

Key News
December U.S. PPI Below Estimates; Major Futures Rally

U.S. December PPI rose 3.3% year-over-year (vs. 3.4% expected, prior 3%).
Month-over-month PPI increased 0.2% (vs. 0.4% forecast, prior 0.4%).
Shortly after release, S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq futures jumped sharply, with Nasdaq futures up nearly 1%.
Tesla Gains Over 1% Pre-Market After Morgan Stanley Ups Target to $430, Reaffirms “Top Pick”

Tesla (TSLA.US) added more than 1% pre-market.
Morgan Stanley, led by Adam Jonas, reiterated Tesla as a “top pick,” raising its price target from $400 to $430.
Analysts see Tesla’s autonomous driving and embodied AI/robotics prospects as key growth drivers, positing a bullish scenario of $800 per share.
Applied Digital Soars Over 20% Pre-Market on Up to $50B Macquarie Investment for AI Data Centers

Applied Digital (APLD.US), a company partly backed by NVIDIA holdings, shot up over 20% pre-market after Macquarie Asset Management unveiled a major investment.
Macquarie will invest up to $900 million in Applied Digital’s North Dakota data center campus, underscoring strong confidence in its expansion strategy.
Under the agreement, Macquarie has priority rights to invest up to an additional $4.1 billion in future Applied Digital data center projects over 30 months, significantly advancing the firm’s growth trajectory.
In exchange, Macquarie will obtain a 15% stake in Applied Digital’s high-performance computing division, with Applied retaining 85% majority ownership.
Teladoc Health Rises Nearly 5% Pre-Market on Amazon Partnership

Teladoc Health (TDOC.US) announced a partnership with Amazon (AMZN.US), allowing eligible Amazon customers to enroll in Teladoc’s diabetes, hypertension, prediabetes, and weight-management programs via Amazon’s Health Benefits Connector.
As of this writing, Teladoc shares are up about 5% pre-market.
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$BTC weeklyPotential falling wedge into the trendline along the 2021 highs, as $SPX fills the election day gapLearn more...
01/13/2025

$BTC weekly

Potential falling wedge into the trendline along the 2021 highs, as $SPX fills the election day gap

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U.S. Stock Market Preview | Wall Street Now Talking About Possible Rate Hikes! Major Futures Edge Lower; Intra-Cellular ...
01/13/2025

U.S. Stock Market Preview | Wall Street Now Talking About Possible Rate Hikes! Major Futures Edge Lower; Intra-Cellular Therapies Surges 35% Pre-Market on a $14.6 Billion J&J Deal

Key News
Monday Pre-Market: All Three Major U.S. Index Futures Weaken

Semiconductor Stocks Mostly Down Pre-Market

TSMC (TSM.US) down over 3%, NVIDIA (NVDA.US), Micron (MU.US) near -3%.
Bitcoin Drops Below $91,000, Crypto-Related Stocks Decline

U.S. Imposes New AI Chip Export Curbs, NVIDIA & Oracle Already Opposed

On October 13, the U.S. government announced new regulations limiting computing power in AI chips destined for most countries.
NVIDIA (NVDA.US) and Oracle (ORCL.US) criticized the measures as potentially “the most destructive policy in U.S. tech history,” shrinking the global chip market for U.S. companies by as much as 80%.
Tesla Falls 3% Pre-Market; Europe’s Largest Pension Fund Sells Entire $5.85 Billion Stake

Tesla (TSLA.US) slides over 3% after ABP—the largest European pension fund—divested its entire €5.71B ($5.85B) stake in Tesla, citing dissatisfaction with Elon Musk’s compensation package.
ABP’s spokesperson said the pay plan was “problematic.” Other factors, including returns, costs, and responsible investment requirements, also influenced the decision.
Intra-Cellular Therapies Jumps ~35% Pre-Market on Johnson & Johnson’s $14.6B Acquisition

On October 13, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.US) announced plans to buy Intra-Cellular Therapies (ITCI.US) for $14.6B to bolster its neurological disease treatments portfolio.
It’s the largest biotech M&A deal since 2023 and the first over $10B in the space since 2024. Intra-Cellular soared nearly 15% last Friday and adds about 35% pre-market, poised to hit record highs.
Sage Therapeutics Surges Over 37% Pre-Market as Biogen Plans to Acquire Remaining Shares at a 30% Premium

U.S. biotech firm Biogen (BIIB.US) announced Friday it will acquire the remaining publicly traded shares of Sage Therapeutics (SAGE.US) at $7.22/share, implying a 30% premium.
Sage is up more than 37% pre-market.
HSBC Cuts NVIDIA Price Target, Sees GB200 Supply Chain Issues Extending into FY2026 H1

HSBC warns NVIDIA (NVDA.US) might face GB200 chip supply bottlenecks from February to July 2025 (its FY2026 H1), limiting near-term “above-expectation” growth.
HSBC maintains a “Buy” rating but reduces the price target from $195/share to $185/share based on a 32x PE.
NVIDIA is down over 3% pre-market.
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01/12/2025

This Doesn't Usually End Well...

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Today's Recommendation: NNEReason for RecommendationWe have traded this stock multiple times already—buying low and sell...
01/10/2025

Today's Recommendation: NNE
Reason for Recommendation
We have traded this stock multiple times already—buying low and selling high—repeatedly capturing profit from the price difference.
Buy Price: Below $26
Position Size: 15%
Sell Price: Around $30
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U.S. Stock Market Preview | Nonfarm Payrolls Beat Forecast, Major Futures Tumble Briefly; Strong Earnings Fuel Pharmacy ...
01/10/2025

U.S. Stock Market Preview | Nonfarm Payrolls Beat Forecast, Major Futures Tumble Briefly; Strong Earnings Fuel Pharmacy & Airline Stocks; Walgreens Up 13%, Delta Soars 9%

Key News
Friday Pre-Market: Major Index Futures Fall Briefly as Nonfarm Payrolls Surpass Expectations

U.S. December nonfarm payrolls rose by 256,000 (vs. 160,000 expected, prior 212,000).
Unemployment rate dropped to 4.1% (vs. 4.2% forecast, prior 4.2%).
Quantum Computing Stocks Rally Pre-Market

WiMi Hologram Cloud (HOLO.US) up nearly 30%
Arqit Quantum (ARQQ.US) up over 8%
SEALSQ Corp (LAES.US) up about 7%
IonQ Inc (IONQ.US) up more than 5%
Airline Stocks Rise Pre-Market on Delta’s Strong Earnings

Delta Air Lines (DAL.US) soared over 9% after beating estimates: adjusted Q4 revenue of $14.44B (vs. $14.16B expected), adjusted EPS of $1.85 (vs. $1.76 expected).
United Airlines (UAL.US) up over 7%, American Airlines (AAL.US) up nearly 6%.
NVIDIA & AMD Fall Pre-Market on Looming AI Chip Export Curbs

NVIDIA (NVDA.US) dipped slightly, AMD (AMD.US) down over 2% pre-market.
Bloomberg reported that outgoing President Biden plans to finalize strict, broad-based measures restricting advanced AI chip exports from companies like NVIDIA and AMD to China and Russia before leaving office.
TSMC Up Near 2% Pre-Market; Q4 2024 Sales Beat

TSMC (TSM.US) rose 2.29% pre-market. The company reported December consolidated revenue of NT$278.16B (+0.8% MoM, +57.8% YoY).
Full-year 2024 revenue hit NT$2.89438T, +33.9% YoY. Strong Q4 results reinforce investor optimism that the AI hardware boom may extend into 2025.
Constellation Energy Up Over 13% Pre-Market After $26.6B Calpine Acquisition

Constellation Energy (CEG.US) announced it will acquire Calpine in a transaction valued at $26.6B, combining two of the largest U.S. power producers.
The transaction includes assuming Calpine’s outstanding debt.
Walgreens Boots Alliance Soars Nearly 14% Pre-Market; Q1 FY2025 Results Beat Expectations, EPS Guidance Raised

Walgreens (WBA.US) reported Q1 revenue of $39.5B (+7.5% YoY), topping estimates of $37.35B.
GAAP EPS came in at -$0.31 (vs. -$0.08 in the prior year). Adjusted EPS was $0.51, down from $0.66, partly due to weaker U.S. retail and lower sale-leaseback income.
The company maintained its FY2025 adjusted EPS guidance of $1.40–1.80.
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01/09/2025

Are Wall Street Bonds Traders Missing This...

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