07/21/2025
๐ก ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐๐น๐ ๐ฎ๐ญ, ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฑ
๐๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฝ: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ป๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐
After rising in recent weeks, rates hit a ceiling midweek and then began to improve, finishing the week roughly unchanged. Inflation came in slightly better than expected but still increased, with signs that tariffs are starting to impact prices.
๐ง๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐ช๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ'๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐: ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐๐น๐ฑ ๐ถ๐บ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฒ ๐
With little economic data on the calendar, rates will likely stay relatively flat this week, aside from typical day-to-day fluctuations. Rates are much more likely to see movement next week with the Fed meeting and labor market data.
๐ ๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐โ๐ ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ณ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ธ:
- Tariff headlines: Markets will keep reacting to tariff headlines, including potential retaliation from other countries. August 1 is the current deadline, though past deadlines have often been delayed or ignored.
-Talk of firing Powell: There has been lots of talk of President Trump attempting to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, despite laws protecting Powell's job. Markets speculate that if Trump were to replace Powell with someone willing to cut the Fed policy rate, it would likely lead to more inflation, which would be bad for mortgage rates. However, it is still considered unlikely that Trump would take this step.