08/21/2024
800K+ jobs reported in the past 12 months just never happened!
The BLS released their benchmark revisions for job data from March 2023 to March 2024. The revision was off by 818,000 where the BLS overstated job growth. That means about 1 in 3 jobs that they reported that were created -- Never Happened! Check out the link from CNBC below for further details.
Why is this reporting miss important? Mortgage rates could be lower than where they are today. Rates could had been much lower even 10 months back however due to the miss on the jobs report by the BLS, upon which many rely on has negatively impacted the housing market with mortgage rates being higher for longer.
The FED could had cut rates by now if this data had been reported accurately.
What to expect and watch moving forward.
Jobless claims report tomorrow. If the claims come in higher than expected we should see rates improve.
Watch out for comments from the FED Chair Jerome Powell on Friday morning. What he says can help the bond markets and perhaps spur demand in the mortgage backed securities. This also can impact rates for mortgages on Friday and into next week.
Any questions about purchasing or refinancing you are more than encouraged to contact me directly.
The U.S. economy created far fewer jobs than originally reported in the 12-month period through March 2024, the Labor Department reported.