07/10/2024
Housing Market Update: đź—Ł
We Are Better Positioned for Lower Mortgage Rates
As we hit the halfway mark of 2024, the housing market is showing signs of improvement with rising inventory levels providing a much-needed buffer.
đź”´ Inventory Growth:
Current Inventory: We now have 652,573 active single-family homes for sale, a significant increase from the mere 240,000 in March 2022.
Weekly Growth: Inventory grew by 6,803 homes this past week, hitting the target five times this year versus zero times last year. This marks a healthier year for inventory growth.
đź”´ New Listings:
Seasonal Peak: We are at the peak period for new listings. Last week, we had 71,181 new listings, an improvement from 58,289 last year, though below the 2022 peak of 89,221.
Price Cuts:
Higher Rates Impact: Elevated mortgage rates have led to an increase in price cuts. Currently, 38% of homes have had price reductions, compared to 33% last year.
Pending Sales:
Steady Demand: Pending contracts show slight year-over-year growth, with 381,057 pending sales this year compared to 381,036 last year.
đź”´ Mortgage Rates and Yields:
Fluctuations: The 10-year yield has seen significant movement, affecting mortgage rates. Despite some recent increases, bond yields and mortgage rates trended lower after the latest jobs report, which showed a softer labor market.
Mortgage Spreads:
Improvement: The spread between the 30-year mortgage rate and the 10-year yield has improved compared to last year's worst levels, leading to slightly better mortgage rates.
Purchase Applications:
Variable Demand: Purchase application data has fluctuated with changing mortgage rates. A three-week winning streak ended recently due to rising rates, highlighting the sensitivity of demand to rate changes.
đź”´ What's Ahead:
Inflation Reports: This week brings key inflation reports (CPI and PPI) and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress. Watch for potential impacts on bond yields and mortgage rates.
Stay tuned for more updates as we navigate the dynamic housing market landscape.