06/09/2025
What We’re Watching This Week – June 9th
This is one of the most important weeks of the year so far when it comes to mortgage rates and real estate sentiment. Here’s what we’re paying close attention to:
1. CPI Inflation Report – Wednesday, June 11
This report could move the market significantly. A higher-than-expected reading will likely push rates up. A cooler report could give us some much-needed relief. Either way, it sets the tone heading into summer.
2. Fed Rate Decision and Dot Plot – Also Wednesday, June 11
No rate cut is expected this week, but all eyes are on the Fed’s updated projections. Will they still forecast two cuts this year, or pull back? The tone of Powell’s comments will be just as important as the numbers.
3. Market Reaction to Friday’s Jobs Report
Strong headline jobs growth with softer wage inflation creates a mixed message. Bond markets are trying to make sense of it, and we’ll see how that carries into early this week.
4. Mortgage Rate Volatility
We’ve been range-bound for a few weeks, but that could change quickly depending on Wednesday’s data. Now is the time to have clear rate strategy conversations with buyers.
5. Inventory is Finally Rising
Active listings just hit over 1 million nationwide—first time since 2019. That’s a big shift. It means more opportunity, but also more hesitancy as buyers stay rate-sensitive. Helping clients cut through noise and focus on long-term value matters more than ever.
Bottom Line:
This is a pivotal week. Rates could shift meaningfully based on how CPI and the Fed play out. Pay close attention and as always reach out if we can help you or anyone you know navigate.