Tilton Wealth Management

06/10/2026

Federal Reserve independence is receiving renewed attention as questions around political pressure and monetary policy continue to surface.

In recent remarks, former Fed Chair Jerome Powell described the central bank as facing a political “stress test,” emphasizing the importance of keeping monetary policy decisions insulated from short-term political influence.

At the center of the discussion is the idea that public trust matters. When households, businesses, and markets believe the Fed is making decisions based on economic conditions, that credibility can support confidence in the broader financial system.

The concern is that political pressure could push policymakers toward short-term decisions that may not align with long-term price stability.

History has shown that inflation can become harder to manage when interest rate decisions are delayed or influenced by outside pressure.

For the economy, the broader issue is not just who leads the Fed — it is whether the institution can maintain credibility while balancing inflation, employment, and financial stability.

The Supreme Court is expected to rule within weeks on Trump's attempted removal of a Fed governor.

06/10/2026

What would you do with a windfall?

A business sale. An inheritance. A bonus that lands bigger than expected.

Most people assume they'd handle it well.

But sudden money follows patterns. And the patterns aren't always flattering.

Psychologists call it sudden wealth syndrome: the anxiety, decision paralysis, and relationship pressure that arrive alongside a large sum. It shows up whether the windfall was a complete surprise or something you spent years building toward.

The 5 most common mistakes we see:

⏳ Upgrading your lifestyle before a strategy exists

🤝 Giving to family under emotional pressure

📊 Attempting to make decisions without professional guidance

⚖️ Freezing and making no decisions at all

📋 Missing the critical deadlines in year one

All five can be managed, but only if you get ahead of the emotions before the decisions start piling up.

The most important thing you can do in the first 90 days? Maybe nothing.

Tell very few people. Then consider building a team of professionals who can offer insights and guidance.

There is rarely a cost to waiting. There is frequently a cost to moving too quickly.

06/08/2026

More home sellers are taking listings off the market as housing conditions continue to shift.

In April, 5.8% of home listings nationwide were pulled from the market, tying December for the highest share of delistings since March 2020. Delistings were also up 3.8% from March.

Several factors may be contributing to the trend, including elevated mortgage rates, higher household costs, and softer buyer demand.

Some sellers may be choosing to wait rather than accept lower offers or longer timelines. At the same time, buyers in certain markets may have more negotiating room than they did in recent years.

Inventory has also been rising in some areas, with more listings sitting on the market for longer.

Together, these shifts point to a housing market where expectations between buyers and sellers may take time to reset.

Frustrated sellers are pulling their homes off the market at an increasingly high pace, as demand weakens and bidding wars wane.

06/08/2026

Markets continued their upward climb in May, supported by strong technology performance, positive economic data, and ongoing diplomatic efforts in the Middle East. The Nasdaq gained 8.36%, the S&P 500 rose 5.15%, and Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite added 2.37%, while investors welcomed better-than-expected job growth and upbeat corporate earnings. With the Fed's next meeting scheduled for June, attention is turning to updated economic projections and what they may signal about the broader economy. From \$24 billion spent on Father's Day to the popularity of dining out and special outings, this month's by-the-numbers highlights how families celebrate the dads in their lives.

Stocks pushed higher in May, fueled by big tech names, positive economic news, and ongoing diplomatic efforts in the Middle East.

06/07/2026

Some days on the calendar mean more than others. Today is one of them. 💙

If someone you love has faced a cancer diagnosis, you know the journey doesn't end when treatment does. The fear doesn't just disappear. The follow-up appointments keep coming. And somewhere in the middle of all of it, there are these unexpected moments of pure gratitude that are hard to put into words.

Cancer doesn't just touch one person. It's the spouse who rearranged their whole life. The kids who grew up faster than they should have. The friends who showed up and kept showing up.

Behind every survivor is a family that went through it too.

Today is for all of them.

06/04/2026

If you've watched a parent or grandparent navigate this disease, you already know.

It changes everything, and not just for them.

Families are often so focused on the day-to-day of caregiving that the legal and financial side quietly falls behind.

▪️ Who has the authority to make decisions if something changes?
▪️ Is there a long-term care plan?
▪️ Does anyone know where the documents are?

A power of attorney, a healthcare directive, a conversation about what care actually looks like.

These are so much easier to put in place when everyone is healthy and clearheaded than after a diagnosis.

If you have aging parents, this month is as good a time as any to start that conversation. We're happy to be part of it. 💙

06/03/2026

June means a lot of different things to a lot of different people.

Weddings. Graduations. The first real stretch of summer. Long evenings and open calendars.

For many people, it also means Pride Month, a time to celebrate the freedom to live openly and authentically.

Whatever June means to you and your family, we hope it is full of the people and moments that matter most.

06/03/2026

The Federal Reserve’s new chair is stepping into the role during a complicated moment for monetary policy.

Inflation has remained above the central bank’s 2% target, with recent price increases driven in part by higher energy costs. Some economists expect the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge to show continued pressure in upcoming data.

That creates a difficult balancing act. Holding rates steady may help address inflation, while lower rates could support borrowing and economic growth.

The labor market also remains an important part of the equation. Steady employment conditions may give policymakers more flexibility, but persistent inflation could limit the case for rate cuts.

The new chair has also signaled interest in reshaping how the Fed operates and communicates with markets.

For households and businesses, the key takeaway is that inflation, interest rates, and Fed communication can all influence borrowing costs, savings yields, mortgage rates, and broader economic confidence.

Warsh is taking over as Fed chair as the U.S. faces the hottest inflation in years, impeding the interest rate cuts that President Trump has demanded.

06/02/2026

True or false: Americans in March 2026 are applying for fewer mortgages than they were during the Great Recession.

True. And it's not even close.

96 OF THE 100 LOWEST NUMBER OF WEEKLY MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS SINCE 1999 HAVE HAPPENED IN THE LAST 3 YEARS! (according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's Mortgage Application Index)

Yet, unemployment today is a fraction of what it was during the financial crisis.

People aren't staying out of the market because they can't qualify. The market is gridlocked. Here's why. 👇

1️⃣ Millions of homeowners locked in at 3 percent during the pandemic. Selling means giving that up for another mortgage that may have a higher interest rate. So they're not moving.

2️⃣ If existing owners aren't selling, inventory can become thin, prices might stay elevated, and buyers wait for something to change.

3️⃣ Most are waiting for rates to drop. But when they do, demand may pick up, competition returns, and that window closes faster than expected.

Here's the truth about market timing: it almost never works the way people picture it.

The better question isn't "When is the right time to buy?" It's "Am I financially ready to move when the right opportunity comes?" 📋

06/01/2026

The timeline for normal shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains an important focus for global markets.

Recent prediction market activity suggests uncertainty around how quickly traffic through the strait could return to typical levels, even if broader diplomatic progress continues.

The Strait of Hormuz is a key route for global energy shipments, so changes in shipping activity can affect oil markets, fuel prices, transportation costs, and broader inflation trends.

Traders recently placed a 38% probability on traffic returning to normal by July 1, with higher odds for a later timeline.

While these numbers can change quickly, they offer a snapshot of how markets are weighing geopolitical risk, energy supply, and timing.

For households and businesses, the broader takeaway is that global shipping routes can significantly affect everyday costs, especially when energy markets are already under pressure.

Despite reports Iran could return the passageway to normal traffic flows within a month of a peace deal, Kalshi traders thought that was unlikely.