The Options Edge

The Options Edge Using fundamental, technical, and investor sentiment to build well timed options trades.

Most tech and semiconductor stocks trade at growth stock PE (i.e., high). Silicon chips have found their way into virtua...
02/08/2024

Most tech and semiconductor stocks trade at growth stock PE (i.e., high). Silicon chips have found their way into virtually every product we buy, so investors see them as an integral part of the future....

Most tech and semiconductor stocks trade at growth stock PE (i.e., high). Silicon chips have found their way into virtually every product we buy, so investors see them as an integral part of the future. There are few semiconductor stocks that trade like value stocks (i.e., low). STM Microelectronics...

Phillips 66 reported their 4th quarter and full-year financial performance on February 1. Interestingly, the company bea...
02/07/2024

Phillips 66 reported their 4th quarter and full-year financial performance on February 1. Interestingly, the company beat expectations, and the stock price moved marginally higher on the news. But in the last few days, the stock has returned those gains....

Phillips 66 reported their 4th quarter and full-year financial performance on February 1. Interestingly, the company beat expectations, and the stock price moved marginally higher on the news. But in the last few days, the stock has returned those gains. The share price rose by about $2.26 to an int...

Some interesting events have just occurred in the past few days that are likely to cause a shakeout. "60 Minutes" interv...
02/06/2024

Some interesting events have just occurred in the past few days that are likely to cause a shakeout. "60 Minutes" interviewed JPo, the Chairperson of the Federal Reserve Bank, to discuss monetary policy. Some might think this story concerns inflation, interest rates, the economy, and jobs....

Some interesting events have just occurred in the past few days that are likely to cause a shakeout. '60 Minutes' interviewed JPo, the Chairperson of the Federal Reserve Bank, to discuss monetary policy. Some might think this story concerns inflation, interest rates, the economy, and jobs. Others mi...

The week ahead in the U.S. economy is poised for keen observation, with a spotlight on the Federal Reserve's strategy am...
02/05/2024

The week ahead in the U.S. economy is poised for keen observation, with a spotlight on the Federal Reserve's strategy amidst ongoing inflation concerns. A mix of caution and anticipation defines the mood as the Fed navigates communication challenges, hinting at delayed interest rate cuts to sustain economic stability. The GDP's modest growth projection for 2024 underscores a delicate balancing act, aiming for a soft landing amid fluctuating market dynamics....

The week ahead in the U.S. economy is poised for keen observation, with a spotlight on the Federal Reserve's strategy amidst ongoing inflation concerns. A mix of caution and anticipation defines the mood as the Fed navigates communication challenges, hinting at delayed interest rate cuts to sustain....

On Thursday, CNBC reported activist investor Elliott Management has built a circa 13% position in the stock of ETSY. CN...
02/02/2024

On Thursday, CNBC reported activist investor Elliott Management has built a circa 13% position in the stock of ETSY. CNBC's David Faber said economic interest is a blend of shares and options. The position would make it Etsy’s largest investor....

On Thursday, CNBC reported activist investor Elliott Management has built a circa 13% position in the stock of ETSY. CNBC's David Faber said economic interest is a blend of shares and options. The position would make it Etsy’s largest investor. Elliott is an activist investor. This means they take...

On January 27, we suggested traders buy a $108 strike call that expires today. The premise of the trade is that we expec...
02/02/2024

On January 27, we suggested traders buy a $108 strike call that expires today. The premise of the trade is that we expected the company to outperform market expectations and pop to the upside....

On January 27, we suggested traders buy a $108 strike call that expires today. The premise of the trade is that we expected the company to outperform market expectations and pop to the upside. The following is a quick summary of the earnings announcement on Wednesday, Jan 31. Operating profit increa...

The financial media has been pounding the table that interest rates are about to fall as the Fed Cuts Interest rates....
02/01/2024

The financial media has been pounding the table that interest rates are about to fall as the Fed Cuts Interest rates....

The financial media has been pounding the table that interest rates are about to fall as the Fed Cuts Interest rates. The Fed came out today to say, 'Forget about it.' They know they have more work to do to get inflation under 2%, and they told the market that ... again. This caused short-term rates...

One industry that investors have shunned in the past few decades is the natural resource sector. These companies mine fo...
01/31/2024

One industry that investors have shunned in the past few decades is the natural resource sector. These companies mine for the metals that go into the products we use every day. (e.g., cars, washing machines, homes, buildings, factories, etc.)...

One industry that investors have shunned in the past few decades is the natural resource sector. These companies mine for the metals that go into the products we use every day. (e.g., cars, washing machines, homes, buildings, factories, etc.) People have preferred to invest in the faster-growing tec...

EBay is a company that was a darling of speculators during the NASDAQ/DotCom bubble. Most of those companies crashed and...
01/30/2024

EBay is a company that was a darling of speculators during the NASDAQ/DotCom bubble. Most of those companies crashed and burned. EBay, on the other hand, is one of the few companies that grew into a legitimate business....

EBay is a company that was a darling of speculators during the NASDAQ/DotCom bubble. Most of those companies crashed and burned. EBay, on the other hand, is one of the few companies that grew into a legitimate business. eBay Inc. operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers in the....

"The Week Ahead" offers an insightful preview into the key economic events and market trends that are expected to shape ...
01/29/2024

"The Week Ahead" offers an insightful preview into the key economic events and market trends that are expected to shape the trading landscape in the coming days. This comprehensive overview delves into a range of significant occurrences, from the release of pivotal economic indicators to the outcomes of major policy meetings, each of which holds the potential to influence market dynamics extensively....

'The Week Ahead' offers an insightful preview into the key economic events and market trends that are expected to shape the trading landscape in the coming days. This comprehensive overview delves into a range of significant occurrences, from the release of pivotal economic indicators to the outcome...

The ethical drug company Novo Nordisk will report earnings on Wednesday, January 31. Analysts expect the company to repo...
01/27/2024

The ethical drug company Novo Nordisk will report earnings on Wednesday, January 31. Analysts expect the company to report EPS of $0.67 on revenue of $8.7 billion....

The ethical drug company Novo Nordisk will report earnings on Wednesday, January 31. Analysts expect the company to report EPS of $0.67 on revenue of $8.7 billion. For those who do not know the company, NVO focuses on the serious chronic diseases that affect hundreds of millions of people and are am...

Everyone in the financial media is talking about an imminent cut in interest rates as if they are guaranteed to happen. ...
01/27/2024

Everyone in the financial media is talking about an imminent cut in interest rates as if they are guaranteed to happen. But we are not so sure....

Everyone in the financial media is talking about an imminent cut in interest rates as if they are guaranteed to happen. But we are not so sure. Our working thesis is that if there are rate cuts, they will not be significant. We hold this view because federal government budgets are inflationary. Mone...

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