11/13/2025
■ U.S. large-cap stocks gained 2.3% in October while small-cap stocks rose 1.8%. U.S. intermediate-term bonds increased by 0.6%.
■ Third-quarter earnings have been broadly positive. Eighty-three percent of companies beat expectations, and overall quarterly earnings growth forecasts rose to 11%. The technology sector remains a key driver.
■ Despite the dearth of official government economic data during the government shutdown, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 0.25%, but tempered expectations for a December cut.
■ Artificial intelligence remains a dominant market theme, and there is a reasonable debate over whether current enthusiasm reflects a trick-or-treat, an AI bubble, or a sustained transformational growth opportunity.
Please see the attached October 2025 Market Commentary, which may be of interest to you: https://magnusfinancial.com/market-commentary-october-2025/
Sources: Polymarket, Kalshi, CNBC, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Reuters, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Federal Reserve, CME FedWatch, Department of the Treasury, Bloomberg data series (tariff revenues), Wall Street Journal, FactSet, Meta, Alphabet, Morningstar, Bank of America, MacroMicro, CNN
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