Muci Nellie

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surely this time there will be a soft landing
06/12/2022

surely this time there will be a soft landing

Thurs was a 19:1 down day, the worst since 6/11/2020. It cancels the 5/27/2022 11:1 up day in the quest for a 2x 10:1 up...
06/10/2022

Thurs was a 19:1 down day, the worst since 6/11/2020. It cancels the 5/27/2022 11:1 up day in the quest for a 2x 10:1 up day breadth thrust signal.

Just the occasional reminder that the Fed raising rates ends up in a recession every time.
06/09/2022

Just the occasional reminder that the Fed raising rates ends up in a recession every time.

It appears that Bitcoiners are getting out ahead of the FOMC this time.This should be interesting.
06/08/2022

It appears that Bitcoiners are getting out ahead of the FOMC this time.

This should be interesting.

06/07/2022

If someone tells you "Junes is seasonally one of the weaker months for US stocks", ask them "How has seasonality worked out for you so far this year?"

From Bloomberg: A chart illustrating this year’s relatively high level of daily price volatility in US stocks.
06/07/2022

From Bloomberg: A chart illustrating this year’s relatively high level of daily price volatility in US stocks.

Pre-COVID, $TSLA market cap was ~5% of the entire energy sector. It peaked above 120% late last year. Even after this ye...
06/06/2022

Pre-COVID, $TSLA market cap was ~5% of the entire energy sector.

It peaked above 120% late last year.

Even after this year's market moves, it still at 50%.

The trend in the 60/40 benchmark portfolio now in its most significant downturn in over a decade. Investor nerves are fr...
06/06/2022

The trend in the 60/40 benchmark portfolio now in its most significant downturn in over a decade.

Investor nerves are frayed, the mood is sour and patience is being tested.

Many couldn't see it coming because they weren't looking for it.

Almost 600 companies in Russel 3000 have negative operating profits
06/05/2022

Almost 600 companies in Russel 3000 have negative operating profits

The U.S. saw more incremental tightening in May. Plotted are the cumulative standardized values of the most consistent l...
06/05/2022

The U.S. saw more incremental tightening in May. Plotted are the cumulative standardized values of the most consistent leading indicators of the business cycle.

Brent crude remains in backwardation as imbalance related to supply-demand issues dominates
06/03/2022

Brent crude remains in backwardation as imbalance related to supply-demand issues dominates

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